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Well, it matches mine! HIynka mentioned selection effects and 'bubbles', ala scott's conservatives in I can tolerate any thing except the outgroup. I'm pretty sure the 1/4 number disproves that HIynka has almost never met someone who uses twitter, but it's very reasonable that much fewer than 1 in 4 or even 20 people he knows use it.
Instead of just "vibing" about the behavior of a group of 350M people, we can use modern technology to research it. https://www.statista.com/statistics/265647/share-of-us-internet-users-who-use-twitter-by-age-group/ "Around 23% of U.S. adults use Twitter." / in 2018, 22% of US adults use twitter, from pew poll. These are smaller than the 1/4 number, but very compatible with the 38 mDAU number although I'll again emphasize that 'has a twitter account and has gone to twitter.com or opened the app in the past month' is going to be higher than basically any other measure. Obviously this is still a very light and casual attempt, but it's better than just 'it mismatches my experience'.
Social media use rather trivially clusters by friend group. If all your friends use snapchat/facebook/discord/twitter/whatsapp/tiktok, you'll do that too! So that makes sense.
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