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PaperclipPerfector  3d ago (text post)   1431 thread views

Small-Scale Question Sunday for December 1, 2024

Do you have a dumb question that you're kind of embarrassed to ask in the main thread? Is there something you're just not sure about?

This is your opportunity to ask questions. No question too simple or too silly.

Culture war topics are accepted, and proposals for a better intro post are appreciated.

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Where are you getting that bird flu might be 50% CFR? I thought it hadn't spread to humans yet

+1. 50% CFR is a rather extraordinary claim. Data varies, but I am seeing 60% CFR for ebola.

Random flu combinations is a yearly occurrence and something that is tracked by global public heath authorities. Also reminder that the flu is really fucking bad but we mostly forget about that because at risk persons are strongly incentivized to get flu shots.

Here's a link-

https://cdn.who.int/media/docs/default-source/wpro---documents/emergency/surveillance/avian-influenza/ai_20241025.pdf

It is worth noting that the type of flu most likely to result in human to human transmission does have a strong possibility of resulting in lower lethality.

However we've had presumed mammal to human transmission in the U.S. already, IIRC.

The problem is when it goes human to human (which it may not).

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