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naraburns  nihil supernum  18d ago (text post)   26899 thread views

U.S. Election (Day?) 2024 Megathread

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Something I'll be watching as an Ohioan: we'll be getting a new Senator to replace Vance. I wonder who it could be? Governor DeWine has to appoint someone for the rest of the term. There are local GOP functionaries like Frank LaRose, or maybe it's a chance for Vivek Ramaswamy? Either way, someone will have a chance to raise their national profile.

https://www.10tv.com/article/news/politics/elections/what-happens-ohios-senate-seat-when-jd-vance-becomes-vp/530-c6edb043-1c1b-45d4-b99f-1a4e704418af

DeWine's not great, but he's not going to put Ramaswamy in Congress without a literal boatload of money and a muzzle on Vivek in exchange. The man's just too hilariously malleable, and for all DeWine's many partisan faults, he's gotta be aware that Ramaswamy'll start biting as soon as he hits the top of the ladder.

In other environments, I'd say Dolan -- he's the sort of moderate-ish-righty that DeWine likes, ran reasonably strongly against Moreno in the primary season, and otherwise has pretty much Extruded Centrist Republican Product bonafides along with looking like an extra from Modern Family -- but that contested primary bites both ways. I don't know how well he or Moreno would play as co-senators, I know DeWine doesn't want to appoint someone who's likely to lose in 2026 (when the seat next comes up), and infighting is one of the surest ways for both seats to charlie foxtrot, especially with current state politics being the mess they are.

LaRose is kinda the split-baby option, a little more professional than Moreno, a little more Trumpy than Dolan. Worse bet as a ruler, better bet as someone staying in rule.

I'm a little disappointed about Issue 1. Frank LaRose and the Republican half of the Ohio Ballot Board's wording of the issue certainly didn't help. Oh well.

At some point I want to look into how other states handle redistricting. Ohio seems unusual in how gridlocked we are on that.

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