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naraburns  nihil supernum  1d ago (text post)   13611 thread views

U.S. Election (Day?) 2024 Megathread

With apologies to our many friends and posters outside the United States... it's time for another one of these! Culture war thread rules apply, and you are permitted to openly advocate for or against an issue or candidate on the ballot (if you clearly identify which ballot, and can do so without knocking down any strawmen along the way). "Small-scale" questions and answers are also permitted if you refrain from shitposting or being otherwise insulting to others here. Please keep the spirit of the law--this is a discussion forum!--carefully in mind.

If you're a U.S. citizen with voting rights, your polling place can reportedly be located here.

If you're still researching issues, Ballotpedia is usually reasonably helpful.

Any other reasonably neutral election resources you'd like me to add to this notification, I'm happy to add.

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Keith Rabois is not a "Twitter random" but a well-known VC.

Keith never followed up on the bet IIRC, but yeah, it's looking like he'd have won. Losing a particular bet, though, doesn't mean it was a bad bet to make on Nate's part. You play the odds as you see them, and given enough bets, eventually you hope to come out ahead.

Has Nate made any other bets?

He's big on poker and sports betting and apparently moderately successful there, but I don't believe he's made any public political bets.

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