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Notes -
It's a good thing I'm not an American, because I'd be driven to despair by the choice of candidates in every election since Obama and Romney. Though my mild disappointment in a Trump win would be even more mildly assuaged by Vance becoming more likely to be elected himself in the future. I like smart people being in power, even if they have to ride Trump's coat tails on the way there.
I do recall when too much time on Reddit had given me minor TDS, I remember my gut dropping when I heard the news he'd been elected back in the day (I was very concerned about him kicking off a nuclear war with the Chinese). I very quickly learned that was an overreaction, mostly by becoming a regular on the old Motte and being exposed to more reasonable (or at least varied) viewpoints than the Reddit mean.
Anyway, I'm mostly ambivalent between the two, or at least I can't pick one I think is strictly superior. If I had to bet, I'd pick Trump going largely off the prediction markets, it's too close to call from what I can tell otherwise.
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