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Weekly NFL Thread: Week 9

Let's chat about the National Football League: This week's schedule (all times Eastern):

Thu 2024-10-31 8:15PM Houston Texans @ New York Jets
Sun 2024-11-03 1:00PM Dallas Cowboys @ Atlanta Falcons
Sun 2024-11-03 1:00PM Denver Broncos @ Baltimore Ravens
Sun 2024-11-03 1:00PM Miami Dolphins @ Buffalo Bills
Sun 2024-11-03 1:00PM New Orleans Saints @ Carolina Panthers
Sun 2024-11-03 1:00PM New England Patriots @ Tennessee Titans
Sun 2024-11-03 1:00PM Las Vegas Raiders @ Cincinnati Bengals
Sun 2024-11-03 1:00PM Los Angeles Chargers @ Cleveland Browns
Sun 2024-11-03 1:00PM Washington Commanders @ New York Giants
Sun 2024-11-03 4:05PM Chicago Bears @ Arizona Cardinals
Sun 2024-11-03 4:05PM Jacksonville Jaguars @ Philadelphia Eagles
Sun 2024-11-03 4:25PM Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
Sun 2024-11-03 4:25PM Los Angeles Rams @ Seattle Seahawks
Sun 2024-11-03 8:20PM Indianapolis Colts @ Minnesota Vikings
Mon 2024-11-04 8:15PM Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Kansas City Chiefs
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Absolutely incredible finish. Commanders avoided a very tough-luck loss by handing the Bears one instead.

The Bears' defensive frontline must've been exhausted by the end because Daniels had plenty of time to run and make a big throw, even with his rib injury.

honestly on these hail Mary's I never understand why they don't rush 5. 6 should be enough on the back-end anyways? I guess maybe you are worried about hook and ladder type stuff but Washington kept 6 back to block + the QB = only 4 players downfield anyways. Make him get it out early and there's not a lot that can go wrong (Miami against NE a few years back being one potential counterpoint).

This play was weird though because of the spy, but 6 should be able to block 4 for a while even if they hadn't had the weird spy option.

https://youtube.com/watch?v=Rv0t_S7bl0I&pp=ygUJcWIgc2Nob29s

Interesting breakdown of a similar play by the Colts defended differently by the Texans.

At 27:12

A Hail Mary isn't a typical pass play where the QB is trying to hit an open receiver. The idea is to bunch your receivers at the goal line and hope to create enough chaos for one of them to come down with the ball. The reason they don't rush 5, or even 4, for that matter, is that the play takes so long to develop that they should be able to get adequate pressure with 3. You need to post 3 DBs deep to defend the goal line, plus 4 CBs to jam the receivers at the line and provide trail coverage, plus a linebacker to spy or guard against the hook & ladder. Give up any one of these spots and you're creating a higher percentage play than if you make the WB throw the Hail Mary.