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Transnational Thursday for October 24, 2024

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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Looks like Israel took a very conservative route. Only military objects - which given Iran government a lot of deniability, you can't just come to a military base and see what really has been blown up there, so Iranians can claim anything they want internally about the damage. I understand a lot of air defense was hit, which serves double purpose: first, showing Iranians that they are vulnerable (since if air defense can't even protect itself, no chance they can protect anything else), and second, enabling further strikes with much more damaging results if they don't get the message. It also led to extremely low number of casualties, could probably be much higher if industry or infrastructure objects were hit. So basically Israel is telling Iran "we can hurt you real bad, but we choosing not to, take the message and calm down". We'll see if they would.