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Notes -
Not necessarily. In fact, because the revisions are so small the numbers mean pretty much exactly what they did before - and if they do mean anything, what they probably mean is 'crime didn't deviate from it's previous trajectory a great deal'. Of course, this in turn doesn't necessarily imply any conclusion about the impact of BLM/changes to police policy, as who knows, without it maybe crime would have gone down by some non-trivial amount. News media should report on the change, but it shouldn't change their conclusions about anything. Trump saying 'crime is only going up' is still not really a statement that can be justified by the statistics in all but the most trivial sense. Even post-revision the 2022 figures were similar to the 2021 and 2020 figures (notwithstanding the problems with the 2021 statistics). While some of the fact-checking on Republican rhetoric on crime was probably over-zealous, that rhetoric was still wildly misleading. There was no surge in crime as constantly espoused by Republicans. Anyone saying 'crime is plummeting' was lying too (even if the pre-revision stats had turned out to be correct), but I don't think anyone was following that line as prominently or as vociferously as Republicans pursued the reverse narrative.
Stuff like this;
is still utterly false. In fact 2023 crime is back down below 2019 levels. This proves nothing either because the margins are so fine. But Trump is and was wrong.
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