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PaperclipPerfector  1mo ago (text post)   28019 thread views

Culture War Roundup for the week of October 7, 2024

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99% yes.

Liberia in 2040 is projected to have a population of around 7.6 million, but let's say 7.2 million due to fertility reductions from ultra-high IQ.

That would imply a GDP per capita of $139,000 necessary to reach a GDP of $1 trillion.

I predict a devaluation of USD of around 5% annually between now and 2040. So that would necessitate (in 2024 dollars) a GDP per capita of $67,000.

I think a person with an IQ of 180 would be worth at least $1 million a year per person to a company to like OpenAI or to a quant trading firm.

So just via outsourcing it would seem quite easy to achieve the desired result. And of course on a longer time frame Liberia would probably achieve a sort of singularity that would see it achieve world dominance and settle the stars.

Your calculations need to account for working age population. Of that 7.2 million figure, how many will be too old or too young?

I think the bigger issue is: Does the world know that this sudden IQ transformation has occurred in Liberia? If not, how are hedgies and AI firms going to discover all this talent? I'd imagine only a small amount of the country even has the computer and networking capabilities to begin working remotely for overseas firms.

I'd imagine only a small amount of the country even has the computer and networking capabilities to begin working remotely for overseas firms.

Looks like internet access is only available to 33% of Liberia, though it's growing fast, and roughly 0% of the country has high-speed internet. This seems like an extremely easy thing to fix in the Starlink era, though.

I'd be more worried about the lack of education. If every Liberian 20 year old was also magically granted the average education of a "typical" 180-IQ 20 year old, then the ensuing economic growth might be trivial, but if they have to acquire the education from scratch (at roughly 1.8x speed, if the ancient "IQ = Intelligence Quotient" and the modern "IQ = 100+16σ" definitions still match so far from the norm?) then that's going to cut a bit deeper into a 16 year timeline; they're starting from a literacy rate around 50%.

(at roughly 1.8x speed,

that's BS, higher IQ can reach higher level of competence than lower IQ can never reach no matter how much education or time they are given

and your average 180 IQ can already read/write in a foreign language when other kids are only starting to write in their native one

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