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Notes -
elaborate?
The night after the election, or early in the morning, the dollar plunged. It flipped from expecting a Trump win to expecting a Biden win. This happened at the same time as the midnight ballot counting that restarted after kicking out neutral observers, which I referenced in Georgia as the Freeman/Shaye debacle. It was also occurring in Philadelphia, I recall.
My interpretation was just that the markets were wrong, as they are sometimes, and didn't correctly take into account different arrival rates of different sources of ballots. I don't find that surprising, markets in new / infrequent things aren't that efficient and are often wrong. The people setting the prices are human, and humans need practice to get good at things. Markets in stocks are somewhat efficient because there are many stocks and many people trading them for a long time, and even then...
I think this isn't indicative, really. Election day was a day, and a lot of things happened on that day, including dozens of claimed frauds, so the drop would've happened after one fraud. I don't think this is a particularly strong rebuttal but it's what I think
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