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Transnational Thursday for September 19, 2024

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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One thing I’ve not seen talked about much is that the pager attack is a likely indicator that Israel is about to invade Lebanon. This was likely an initial softening-up attack before a ground invasion, not just an isolated act of harassment. Israeli media is also announcing special security zones in north central Israel which would also indicate an invasion. There have also been Israeli troop and equipment deployments to the north, and various statements from the government indicating an imminent invasion.