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Lazuli  8d ago (text post)   574 thread views

Weekly NFL Thread: Week 2

Let's chat about the National Football League. This week's schedule (all times Eastern):

Thu 8:15PM  Buffalo Bills @ Miami Dolphins
Sun 1:00PM  Cleveland Browns @ Jacksonville Jaguars
Sun 1:00PM  Indianapolis Colts @ Green Bay Packers
Sun 1:00PM  New Orleans Saints @ Dallas Cowboys
Sun 1:00PM  New York Giants @ Washington Commanders
Sun 1:00PM  New York Jets @ Tennessee Titans
Sun 1:00PM  Las Vegas Raiders @ Baltimore Ravens
Sun 1:00PM  Los Angeles Chargers @ Carolina Panthers
Sun 1:00PM  Seattle Seahawks @ New England Patriots
Sun 1:00PM  San Francisco 49ers @ Minnesota Vikings
Sun 1:00PM  Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Detroit Lions
Sun 4:05PM  Los Angeles Rams @ Arizona Cardinals
Sun 4:25PM  Cincinnati Bengals @ Kansas City Chiefs
Sun 4:25PM  Pittsburgh Steelers @ Denver Broncos
Sun 8:20PM  Chicago Bears @ Houston Texans
Mon 8:15PM  Atlanta Falcons @ Philadelphia Eagles
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(This is a good example of a personal bubble!)

In its simplest form, a survivor league for the NFL involves choosing one team per week which must win its game. If the team wins, you survive to the next week. The caveat is that you can only choose each team once for the entire season (I believe 18 weeks currently). There are several strategic considerations: how likely each team is to win in the current week; how often the team might be a good choice in future weeks; how popular you expect the choice to be; etc. For a simple example if you have a team that is expected to win nearly all their games, and there are 1000 entrants in the contest, you'd want to save that team as long as possible for use in a situation where there are no other great options. Also regarding popularity if you have a team that say 50% of entries are likely to choose, then you almost never want to pick them because if they lose you've now eliminated half the field.

https://www.survivorgrid.com/ has a lot of this information in convenient format, the most valuable being the percentage picked for each team.

There are also several variants of survivor including picking a team to LOSE each week, having to pick 2 teams each week, potential reentries if you lose, and many more. It's an interesting way to gamble.

Thanks for the thorough explanation. This seems like an elevated pick 'em scenario.

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