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Culture War Roundup for the week of September 9, 2024

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It's a coder's model I think, not a gooner's model. And I think we're only going to get the monkey models at this point. The Soviets had export versions of their tanks made with shit steel and without the good optics. They didn't want their full abilities to be exposed. Plus the export versions were cheaper, suitable for mass production.

OpenAI has the compute to train really big models, they don't have the compute to make them available to the hoi-polloi. There are already pretty prohibitive rate-limits on the new o1. And they don't want to expensively let other companies inference out and replicate their models, which may be why they're concealing the true chain of thought.

It's a coder's model I think, not a gooner's model.

I have no hopes for GPT in the latter department anyway, but my point stands, I think this is a remarkably mundane development and isn't nearly worth the glazing it gets. The things I read on basket weaving forums do not fill me with confidence either. Yes, it can solve fairly convoluted riddles, no shit - look at the fucking token count, 3k reasoning tokens for one no-context prompt (and I bet that can grow as context does, too)! Suddenly the long gen times, rate limits and cost increase make total sense, if this is what o1 does every single time.

Nothing I'm seeing so far disproves my intuition that this is literally 4o-latest but with a very autistic CoT prompt wired under the hood that makes it talk to itself in circles until it arrives at a decent answer. Don't get me wrong, this is still technically an improvement, but the means by which they arrived at it absolutely reeks of crutch coding (or crutch prompting, rather) and not any actual increase in model capabilities. I'm not surprised they have the gall to sell this (at a markup too!) but color me thoroughly unimpressed.