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Culture War Roundup for the week of August 26, 2024

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Also discussed on the ACX open thread here.

Crossposting my take:

Analogy time. Someone posts on twitter about the health benefits of drinking mercury. Millions follow them, the FDA starts to recommend a daily intake of 1g Hg. After a few years, someone happens to notice that a lot of people die of mercury poisoning.

Would it be fair to say that this twitter user has killed millions?

I would say perhaps, but there is clearly more blame to go around. Why would the FDA trust what a random person on twitter says, that is grossly irresponsible. Why did nobody notice all the bodies piling up?

Now, some people might claim there is a difference between trusting a random tweet and trusting a peer reviewed medical study, but in my mind, there is not -- only a complete fool would do either. At least do a meta-analysis of five studies done by different institutions (this leads to https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Dml8wLEUUAASwZi.jpg but still seems like the least worst option). I mean, if Scott had written an article "Beta blockers before surgery: much more than you wanted to know", I would not have expected him to say "well, this guy sure publishes a lot of studies in favor of them, so I guess they are fine".

Also, if the new clinical guidelines based on the fraudulent study lead to a fucking 27% of excess mortality, there should be someone whose fucking job it is to notice that fact.

In a way, this feels like if Boeing decided to base their flight controls on a Windows 95 platform, and blame Microsoft for the resulting computer+plane crashes. It is fine to say that Microsoft is to blame because Win95 was obviously not fit for sale, but the bulk of error was to decide to control an airplane with it, so most of the blame would depend on the specifics: did MS actively push Fly-By-Win or did they not?

I was thinking the same thing. It should also be noted that the policy was enacted in 2009, while the debunking meta-study uses studies from 1996-2008. Someone was asleep at the wheel.