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Culture War Roundup for the week of August 12, 2024

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what the strategic objective of this operation is

Neither country has exactly proven itself to be a strategic mastermind in this war. Everyone knows how bad Russia has miscalculated the way the war would unfold, but so did Ukraine. Back in April 2022 peace was within reach: the Istanbul communique didn't exactly benefit Ukraine, but the terms were quite generous. All Ukraine had to do was not sink the Russian flagship and suppress the news from Bucha. The decision to stay and fight back has now resulted in casualties that dwarf Bucha. There's no way either country can come out on top in a peace deal in 2024.

The battle lines inside Ukraine proper have become essentially immobile

Not quite. Russia is pushing through Ukrainian lines with a velocity that is still slow but is also much faster than in the old "Russian forces have taken over the living room of 29 Bandera street" joke. Taking Pokrovsk, Slavyansk and Kramatorsk won't be easy, especially given Russia's operational incompetence, but the plan is to keep bombing them until Ukraine runs out of reinforcements.

Circling back to the original question, why invade Russia proper?

If it was a plan to get Russia to divert its forces from the Donbass frontline, so far it has failed, especially given that Ukrainian troops taking part in the operation had been diverted from the Donbass too.

Is it a landgrab operation in the anticipation of upcoming peace talks? What peace talks?

Is it a way to remind other countries that Ukraine still can fight to get more aid? Maybe.

Is it a consolation goal before Ukraine starts talking about negotiations? It's not like it has backfired on them before, right?