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Culture War Roundup for the week of June 17, 2024

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I flat out do not think anyone could make even a half-compelling case for Biden nationalizing Twitter.

Then pick a different example. There has to be some unlikely scenario. Let's go with your original court packing one.

You care about unlikely scenarios that happen at the 5-10% level, yet you don't care about unlikely scenarios that happen at the 3-5% level. Even assuming I fix the numbers so it isn't exactly at 5 (which is covered by both ranges), that's making a really, really, fine distinction. I simply would not be able to estimate such things with enough precision to say "well, maybe it's as high as 3-5%. but it couldn't possibly be as high as 5-10%". And I highly doubt you could really make such estimates either. It's not only subjective, but it can't be anything else; you're pulling numbers out of your hat.