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PaperclipPerfector  5mo ago (text post)   993 thread views

Transnational Thursday for May 30, 2024

Transnational Thursday is a thread for people to discuss international news, foreign policy or international relations history. Feel free as well to drop in with coverage of countries you’re interested in, talk about ongoing dynamics like the wars in Israel or Ukraine, or even just whatever you’re reading.

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Ukraine

I don't know how deliberate this is (probably not very, just a natural consequence of doing as little as possible to keep Ukraine alive), but it looks like the plan is to keep Russia busy as long as possible, to keep Putin thinking that victory is just around the corner, he just has to endure a dozen more attacks on oil refineries, maybe shoot down a few F-16s, power through another round of sanctions, maybe conduct another mobilization and then he'll be in Kiev by Christmas. The plan is definitely not about helping Ukraine regain its territory quickly and decisively.

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