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Culture War Roundup for the week of May 27, 2024

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yet the war should be ended

The passive voice here is the problem. If I am doing British politics (and I am, as a British citizen posting on a political forum during an election campaign) then "the war should be ended" is either irrelevant cant, or a way of saying "A coalition of civilized countries including the UK should end the war" while dodging the question of how. If NATO actually wanted to end the war without relying on Russia or Ukraine's willingness to act against their perceived self-interest to help us, the fastest way to do so would be to provide Ukraine with sufficient support to win it.

As far as I can see 90% of the people saying "the war should be ended" mean "the civilized world, led by the US, should jawbone Ukraine into surrendering to Russia*". The practical consequences of this probably include the enslavement, expulsion, or extermination of the Ukrainian people (which of these being largely down to the whims of a madman), so how the jawboning is supposed to work is left as an exercise to the reader. I would not wish to speculate how many of the people on the centre and left saying "the war should be ended" would still be willing to say so if they thought about what they were actually saying. I am reasonably comfortable that the pro-Putin right know exactly what they are doing.

  • A negotiated peace which leaves Ukraine less defensible than it was in 2022 is unconditional surrender by salami slicing, given Russia's disinclination to abide be previous negotiated agreements to respect Ukrainian sovereignty. There seems to be a broad agreement that "Ukrainian neutrality" - i.e. a ban on the kind of security co-operation with the civilized world that made Ukraine defensible in 2022 - will be a necessary part of any negotiated peace that Russia could accept.