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Can you please elaborate? Maybe even in separate thread? Or please send me the links if you wrote about this previously.
Haven't, really.
Some links:
https://cdrsalamander.substack.com/ (retired officer, chronicled the entire dismal saga of US navy forgetting how to build and operate warships
Steve Hsu, a physicist, posts about ASBMs a lot.
https://stevehsu.substack.com/p/machine-intelligence-threatens-overpriced-aircraft-carriers-search
https://www.navalnews.com/naval-news/2020/11/chinas-new-aircraft-carrier-killer-is-worlds-largest-air-launched-missile/
Basically, it's believe Chinese procurement is much more effective, they're rapidly catching up in technology too. So they're going to have more weapons, more ships, and there's also a reasonable suspicion that US which has had a large navy for a long time suffers from institutional inertia that makes it impossible to adapt fast enough. Meanwhile Chinese are building their navy to counter the US one.
So when China attempts to take Taiwan, US will either give up Taiwan and massively lose prestige and likely influence, or fight a war and lose it.
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