Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
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User ID: 863
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
15hr ago
So in terms of 'trends,' What do you think eventually happens if young women continue voting for Democrats/lefties in droves... and have extreme intolerance for anyone who doesn't, while young men tack further right?
Complete Democrat political dominance? 80+% of women consistently voting for Democratic party candidates would be a nigh insurmountable electoral advantage.
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
17hr ago
I am a little surprised by the lack of gender polarization in those numbers, except the 18-29 group. I would have thought it would be a cross-age phenomenon.
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
18hr ago
Virginia's statewide elections are always off-presidential-year, by state law. Republicans swept all three VA races I mentioned above in the last general election in 2021. It is hardly the case that, at least in recent history, Republicans are incapable of winning statewide offices in VA general elections.
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
1d ago
Can you say more about why Earle-Sears was not a serious candidate? She was elected Lieutenant Governor in 2021.
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
1d ago
The VA AG race had some uncertainty after some controversial texts from Jay Jones came to light. The GA wins by the Democratic party candidates are the first time D's have won a statewide state position (as opposed to federal) in 20 years. Sherrill was probably the favorite in the NJ Governor race but it's also the first time the same party has had a member elected governor for a third consecutive time in decades. The NYC mayoral race had been closely watched (at least in my political circles) due to disgraced ex-governor Andrew Cuomo's attempt to run for the seat. First in the Dem primary, then as a third party.
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
1d ago
Who else up watching election results? As of the time of this writing Decision Desk has called all of:
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The Virginia governor race in favor of Abigail Spanberger (D).
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The Virginia lieutenant governor race in favor of Ghazala Hashmi (D and the first Muslim woman elected to statewide office).
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The Virginia Attorney General race in favor of Jay Jones (D lmao).
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The New Jersey governor race in favor of Mickie Sherrill (D).
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The NYC mayoral race for Zohran Mamdani (D, projecting a majority of the vote too lmao).
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Both statewide Georgia Public Service Commissioner races for the Democratic candidates.
Polls are still open in California so no word yet there on the redistricting ballot measure. In other Jay Jones news the house delegate who leaked his texts is on track to lose her re-election, as part of dems winning a trifecta in the Virginia government.
The county by county level results I've seen show pretty much all of the above running ahead of Harris and Spanberger even running ahead of Biden in 2020. Is this indicative of what we might see going forward? Dems had previously overperformed in special elections this year but this is the closest to a general until next years actual federal elections. If these trends hold up not a good sign for Republicans!
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
2d ago
Maybe I am typical minding too much but I think if you tried describing these "tensions" to people who support both the things you identify as in tension they would come off as non-sequiturs.
Trans — Palestine
Violence against women — Palestine
My impression is that most of the people celebrating something like "International Day of Solidarity with the Palestinian People" likely believe there is an ethnic cleansing, if not genocide, going on in the West Bank and Gaza. Carried out by some combination of the Israeli government and private settlers. I would be surprised if their objections to this state of affairs evaporated on learning that Palestinians were anti-trans or misogynistic. The two things do not seem connected to each other. I don't think people's objection to Israel's treatment of Palestinians is premised on those Palestinians having progressive politics, though I am open to being wrong about this.
Trans — violence against women
When people are thinking of something like "Transgender Awareness Week" they are thinking about struggles trans people have accessing healthcare. Or discrimination they might face in employment in housing. Similarly when people are thinking of "International Day for the Elimination of Violence Against Women" they are probably thinking of the elimination of, like, intimate partner violence. Assault by strangers. "Male rapists claiming to be trans to access women in prison" are just not salient to either groups conception of what the events are about.
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
6d ago
Maybe I'm confused. In your comment you referred to no-fault divorce as a political solution to a personal problem. My contention is that it is a political solution to a political problem. The circumstances under which one can exit marriage, and the details of marriage as a matter of law, being themselves political creations. Similarly rape shield laws. The rules of evidence for courts being political creations.
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
6d ago
What are the personal problems that no-fault divorce is a political solution to? In the absence of such laws it is the state compelling you to stay in a relationship you'd rather end. Is thinking a legal arrangement is unjust a "personal" problem? Same for rape shield laws, which concern the admissibility of evidence in criminal proceedings.
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
8d ago
Apologies, but this is a personal interest of mine. "Filibuster" commonly refers to two different rules of the Senate, with different implications.
The "talking filibuster" comes from Senate Rule XIX 1(a):
When a Senator desires to speak, he shall rise and address the Presiding Officer, and shall not proceed until he is recognized, and the Presiding Officer shall recognize the Senator who shall first address him. No Senator shall interrupt another Senator in debate without his consent, and to obtain such consent he shall first address the Presiding Officer, and no Senator shall speak more than twice upon any one question in debate on the same legislative day without leave of the Senate, which shall be determined without debate.
Importantly, a talking filibuster can delay the business of the Senate no matter how large the majority of Senators that want to proceed.
The "filibuster" that blocks most legislation is not the threat of a "talking filibuster" but rather Senate Rule XXII. I am not going to quote the whole thing here (it's very long) but the short version is that to force the Senate to move to actually voting on passing a piece of legislation you need 3/5ths of Senators to agree to a motion to do so. Implementing a filibuster under this rule just means having two members present on the floor of the Senate and, like, move to adjourn over and over again. That motion would be privileged over any motion to vote on a bill and the only way to stop it being made would be it invoke cloture, which requires the 3/5ths vote threshold.
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
28d ago
Maybe it is but morality does not require "never do a treason." The founding of America was substantially treason against the British crown and they were right to do that.
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
29d ago
All things that are unethical share the trait of being unethical, as I have been consistent about. That does not entail that they share particular factual similarities, such as involving slavery. That was a leap you made.
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
29d ago
What do you think moral legitimacy consists of? How would it be different from what I said?
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
29d ago
Equating "I don't like X" and "X is unethical" seems like a skill issue on your part. There are plenty of things I don't like that are not unethical for people to do.
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
29d ago
They are out of accordance with ethical principles, of course. Do you think returning fugitive slaves was the right thing to do?
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
29d ago
They are both agents of the state, in the instant case. There are no shortage of other immoral groups it's morally obligatory to resist as well, of course.
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
29d ago
They are both doing things that are immoral. I thought I was pretty clear?
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
29d ago
They are comparable in that the state's actions are equivalent in their lack of moral legitimacy. I thought I was pretty clear about that.
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
29d ago
I do not think all actions of the state which lack moral legitimacy are factually equivalent. Hope this clarifies things!
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
29d ago
It was morally abhorrent to enslave people and to return them into slavery. Legitimacy does not consist in "whatever the state says is legitimate."
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
29d ago
Is it the peace that is the absence of tension or the peace that is the presence of justice?
Gillitrut
Reading from the golden book under bright red stars
29d ago
Good. ICE officers have, in my mind, about as much legitimacy as federal officials enforcing the Fugitive Slave Act and it is every red-blooded Americans moral duty to resist them.
It was not. I encourage you to watch the video. At the point Field's car goes down the street passed the camera man he could simply have stopped, put it in reverse, and backed away from the crowd. You can tell this is possible because it's exactly what he does seconds later, after he has driven into the crowd.
What are you envisioning here? Are police going to refuse to make arrests for crimes? What crimes? Prosecutors refuse to file charges? Judges going to toss cases? Are you under the impression all parts of the justice system today think every law they enforce is just? I am very skeptical that is the case.
What do you think is going to happen?
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