zeke5123
10mo ago
When you create a system that it is hard to know whether person X voted, how we can make definitive statements about the propensity of group Y to vote?
zeke5123
10mo ago
Australia is a little different compared to the US. That a province can cast out some leaders tells us nothing about whether the imperial core can do the same thing.
zeke5123
10mo ago
Care to wager? SCOTUS need only say “the law is not self executing; congress passed a law saying what insurrection is, Trump wasn’t found guilty, therefore he is eligible.”
That is of course the prudential thing to do. The Baude argument is and remains silly.
zeke5123
10mo ago
That’s just silly. No one doubts his conservative bona fides. Who out there is saying “I’m not voting for DeSantis. Cause he is too progressive.” No they talk about lifts or call him a robot.
zeke5123
11mo ago
Those are to my mind the same category as J6. Why do you think they are different or don’t count?
zeke5123
11mo ago
I find the dissent’s attack of the Colorado law convincing apart from the issue you raise. Determining whether someone is an insurrectionist is either really simple (in the context of say Robert E Lee) or really hard (Trump or Biden). It seems we can either define insurrectionist narrowly (in which case the Colorado law applies but Trump clearly isn’t an insurrectionist) OR the Colorado law wasn’t intending to capture broad interpretations of insurrection since that would require extreme factual development / significant protection for the person accused of insurrection and tr statute requires a quick trial on a preponderance standard with limited discovery rights. So it is kind of heads Trump wins tails the Plaintiff loses.
zeke5123
11mo ago
I have some for your reading pleasure.
Biden supported and gave encouragement to BLM riots which among other things included CHAZ.
Biden knew the renter moratorium was unconstitutional. His advisors told him as such. The SCOTUS said this is illegal but since you told us you are ending it we will let you end it in an orderly fashion. He then said “fuck it — I will extend it and hope it will take months or years to overturn what I knew was against the constitutional Order.
Biden conspired with others in the Obama administration to frustrate the peaceful transmission of power to the Trump administration from by trying to sabotage that admin via the bureaucracy including Biden suggesting trying to trap Flynn using the laughable Logan act (has some similarity to Trump — sure in theory he was exercising what is facially a legal authority but the local authority could say that was pretext).
zeke5123
11mo ago
Black elites make me dislike black people. Seriously it is very annoying how often they spread ungrounded hate about people that look like me.
I would very much dislike if someone like TNC moved next door to me. OTOH, if it was Glenn Loury I’d be excited.
zeke5123
11mo ago
Subverting American policy for financial gain of your son is insurrectionist behavior therefore Biden is ineligible to run.
zeke5123
11mo ago
There is zero argument that the general is different from the primary so if he runs for the general the court would need to make the same holding.
zeke5123
11mo ago
If he had a hearing but they never were going to vote yes would that have satisfied you?
zeke5123
11mo ago
The logic of the case must therefore hold that he is not eligible for the general in Colorado
Are we sure? I don’t think it has ever been litigated but seems to me the whole impeachment and conviction process is clearly modeled after a trial. Trump was basically tried on these facts and acquitted.
It is not a slam dunk by any stretch but an interesting issue to think through
Stronger claim against Smith since there facing imprisonment.
zeke5123
11mo ago
There are numerous deficiencies in the Colorado ruling both substantive (did Trump commit insurrection, how does the 1st and 14th interact) and procedural (is the 14th self executing, does it even apply to the president, even if self executing what kind of protections are provided to office seekers).
SCOTUS will rule on the procedural grounds because they don’t want this to become a tool to remove candidates from the election (eg maybe a state says that Biden gave comfort and aide to say the BLm riots and that is an insurrection). It would be easy to say Congress has to provide enabling legislation and while not entirely clear the closest thing to enabling legislation (1283) hasn’t been met and so unless and until that has been satisfied this provision won’t apply. I suspect even Kagan will join (or perhaps even write that opinion to help give it legitimacy). It can be politically neutral (eg we never get to the question of whether Trump is guilty of the underlying crime).
This is but another example though of the left’s hatred of Trump destroying institutions.
zeke5123
11mo ago
We shall see. I’ve been playing with AI and law. It hasn’t been great so far.
zeke5123
11mo ago
To me there is a double jeopardy problem. Trump was already tried for this shit and wasn’t convicted by his peers (ie the senate).
zeke5123
11mo ago
I think he should lean into it. Yeah I’m pretty boring. Yeah I’m a bit awkward. But what I am is pretty damn competent and will do things that make your life better. Look at what I’ve done in Florida.
People might appreciate the authenticity. Ron might not be the person you want to have a beer but he would be the kind of person you’d want your daughter to marry.
zeke5123
11mo ago
Haley seems like a mirage. There hasn’t been constant attacks against her and her record isn’t great. Vivek is right that she is corrupt.
She is a trap.
This is exactly my point. In fact, I think the case against Biden is cleaner in that the eviction order was one of the most brazen “I know it’s illegal but I don’t care” moves done in decades.
Trump may very well believe that laws were broken and therefore his action on Jan 6 was actually consistent with his oath to take care that the laws are faithfully executed. Biden has no such excuse.
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