BANNED USER: /comment/268983
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WhiningCoil
No bio...
User ID: 269
Banned by: @naraburns
WhiningCoil
15d ago
The road I live on in a rural exurb has a pretty solid mix of Harris/Trump signs along the 20 miles I take to drop my daughter off at school. I wouldn't take anything for granted.
WhiningCoil
15d ago
VA going red would be a dream come true. But Northern VA is TDS ground zero, and very populous. I still see people, alone in their car on 66 wearing their stupid little covid mask. Although less this year than last, finally.
WhiningCoil
16d ago
Sometimes unsophisticated random number generators can get stuck on a number. Usually you try to detect those cases and jump out of them.
But yes, the simulation is showing.
WhiningCoil
16d ago
I wish I knew. People I considered straight shooters previously have all gone deranged one direction or the other. I used to enjoy Breaking Points, but ever since 10/7 Krystal Ball has had full blown derangement syndrome and just shouts and moralizes at her cohost. The rest of the crew is still pretty good, and Ryan Grim, though a progressive, usually cites actual events, headlines or history to make his point instead of shrieking like a harpy. Emily is a little weak and mostly operates on vibes, and Saagar is maybe a little too humble with a pretty encyclopedic knowledge of political history. Tends to let the others walk all over him.
I'd previously enjoyed Joe Rogan's election podcast. The 2016 one with a huge roster of comedians was an especial favorite of mine, especially Bill Burr roasting the crowd continuously no matter who they were rooting for. But I found his 2020 podcast less fun, with Kyle Kulinski (Krystal's husband) calmly assuring Joe that the sudden vote dumps were totally expected, and all the plausible reasons they were happening. Maybe they were even true! But it just wasn't as fun.
Of course Joe has endorsed Trump this time around, and I'm not even aware of him doing another "End of the World" podcast. So yeah, I got nothing. I might attempt Breaking Points tonight assuming Krystal doesn't get too obnoxious. But truthfully I'm too worked up over this one to "enjoy" it like I have previous years.
I stocked up on some Laird's Applejack and Apple Brandy, because they are America's oldest distillery, making a distinctly American spirit, in my home state. Because MURICA. It was nice while it lasted. I'll probably be drinking until I black out, and may or may not continue into the next day depending on where we are.
WhiningCoil
16d ago
It's tempting, but I'm more of a solo player.
It's funny, I sent my space platform off to another planet just to see what would happen. Gave it a turret or two.... and it was smashed to shit and stranded when it got there. Oops! Built a new and better one, and then used it to fly to Valcanus. Just killed a few of the local megafauna there to open up some more resources and am having a blast after I got lots of basic necessities automated, along with some automated deliveries from my home planet like solar panels, accumulators and level 3 factories.
WhiningCoil
16d ago
People keep talking to me about "civil war"
Only if we're lucky.
WhiningCoil
16d ago
Maybe.
Alternately I fully radicalized my wife. She's pro abortion, and we have a daughter, and that pulls at her heart strings. However, my argument that we have to keep her from being brainwashed trans in her tender years before abortion matters in her teen/adult years got her full on the Trump Train.
Open threats from the DNC to "alter" the 1st amendment, and Biden sleep walking us to the brink of WWIII also helped.
Funnily enough, this isn't far off from the "radicalizing" argument you see a lot of women give about why they are voting Trump despite being nominally pro abortion. Bridget Phetasy straight up said becoming a mom radicalized her against all the trans stuff. Leapfrogged everything else to become her top issue over abortion.
WhiningCoil
16d ago
With so much early voting, it probably would have mattered more last month, or even last week. Now it feels almost like a virtue signal, much as I hate to say.
WhiningCoil
16d ago
You don't think every one of these NGOs that are organizing migrants into this country, helping them apply for welfare, walking them through exactly what to say to claim asylum, wouldn't also be going, in that sickening passive voice "This is a voter registration form. You can only vote if you check this box here. If you vote it's important to know that Harris will protect your asylum status here."
WhiningCoil
16d ago
It was a bit more sophisticated than that
Welfare offices and other agencies in at least 46 US states are providing voter registration forms to migrants without requiring proof of citizenship, leading Republicans and conservatives to call for swift federal action to stop the handouts.
Every state but North Dakota, New Hampshire, Wisconsin and Wyoming gives applicants for either welfare benefits, driver’s licenses, or in some cases, mail-in ballots federal voter registration forms without demanding proof of citizenship.
There is currently no requirement on federal voting forms to provide proof of US citizenship, though it is illegal to falsely claim one is a citizen or for a non-citizen to cast a ballot in a federal election.
WhiningCoil
16d ago
That's the wild part. Our entire election system is apparently governed by the honor system where nobody would ever lie so we never need to check. And then people have the gall to state that voter fraud is rare. If this were any other institution arguing about why they should never be audited or have any oversight what so ever, we'd all be calling bullshit.
WhiningCoil
16d ago
Exit polling was useless in 2020 already thanks to mass mail in ballots. I thought pollsters broke things down with zip code and results, zip codes often serving as pretty good proxies for demographics.
WhiningCoil
16d ago
How much fraud is there?
During the Republican Primaries, Vivek called out the GOP Chairwoman for being utterly useless, and leading the GOP to loss after loss after loss, and called for her resignation. In the wake of this, the Trump takeover of the GOP was complete, with Lara Trump taking the top spot. One of their top priorities? Voter fraud. Largely because Trump has never abandoned his fraud claims. Reactions from political pundits was that this was generally a bad idea. Polling supposedly showed the continued sour grapes over losing in 2020 turned voters off. All the same, the organization clearly staffed up to proactively fight potential voter fraud.
They successfully took noncitizens off the voter roles in Virginia.. They've been wining court cases in PA and GA to prevent mail in votes from being counted if they arrive after election day. In Arizona they won a lawsuit once again trying to purge non citizens from the voter roles. And many more.
Now, winning court cases is all fine and dandy, but if the people counting the votes choose to just blatantly ignore it, you still have a problem. To illustrate my point, there was a Chinese national in Michigan that voted because LOL apparently? And when he went out of his way to report that he shouldn't have been allowed to vote... well he's in trouble but the vote is still going to count. And that's basically the rub. Without police in the room enforcing these court orders, once a fraudulent or illegal vote is counted it's fiat accompli. Laws are meaningless with a process designed to ignore them.
Regardless of my black pilled skepticism about whether all these legal victories will amount to anything, what if they do?
My understanding of a lot of polls is they weight their demographics by turnout from the last election, plus maybe some secret sauce to try to guesswork around shifting coalitions. But, what if their starting point, the 2020 election, was rife with fraud that is now being proactively stamped out? Or at least reduced significantly due to the GOP's new diligence? Well garbage in, garbage out. If the polls get their weighting from fraudulent elections, they won't be accurate for an election that has had the fraud cracked down on.
So I propose that if Trump wins, and the polls are significantly wrong, it could constitute some circumstantial evidence that there was significant fraud in 2020. Alternately, it's possible that if the polls are bang on and Trump loses, perhaps it constitutes equally weak circumstantial evidence that they were not. Assuming places like PA and GA don't count undated or late dated ballots anyways because fuck you, once it's counted it's fiat accompli.
WhiningCoil
17d ago
Supposedly anyone with a few bucks can file a FOIA request too. In reality you need a team of lawyers to force the government to comply with it's own laws. Which is why only large news organizations get any information out of FOIA anymore.
And that's more or less how it's played out over the last 4 years with all the litigation that is still ongoing from the 2020 election.
WhiningCoil
17d ago
Facebook, Twitter stocked with ex-FBI, CIA officials in key posts
WASHINGTON — Dozens of former national security officials have gone to work for Facebook and Twitter after leaving government service, raising concerns about the influence of their onetime agencies over the social media giants.
At Twitter alone, at least eight former FBI agents work at the company’s so-called “trust” and “security” divisions — including its product policy manager Greg Anderson, who previously worked on “psychological operations” at the National Security Council, The Post has learned. Another is Matthew Williams, the company’s co-lead of its Trust and Safety department who spent more that 15 years in intelligence with the agency.
The discovery of the DC-to-Silicon Valley pipeline comes amid an outcry over revelations that the FBI influenced Twitter to suppress The Post’s account over its reporting on Hunter Biden’s overseas business interests in October 2020 and has regularly demanded specific accounts and tweets be banned.
The irony if you never hearing about this, because the FBI/CIA has such control in the first place should be a punch in the gut.
WhiningCoil
17d ago
That is not the definition of woman the courts will use. In the UK especially, truth is not a defense against libel.
WhiningCoil
17d ago
I mean, it helps that Jan 6 has been extensively relitigated, and found to not be what it was at first sold as. No police officers were killed, down from initial claims of 3-6. There is extensive footage of capital police just waving grandmas into the capital, contra the sizzle reel that the media put together. Trump is consistently reiterated that he told people to march "Peacefully and patriotically". The FBI has never disclosed how many agent (agent provocateur?) they had in the crowd, but the former head of the Capital Police claims his agency was excluded from briefings and intentionally kept in the dark about it. In fact, the former head of the Capital Police contradicts many "official" claims with his narrative of the events of that day. And effectively the only person willing to get his side of the story was Tucker Carlson, who was coincidentally fired before the episode aired. So he interviewed the guy again when he went independent.
So yeah, a lot of people are now willing to overlook January 6.
WhiningCoil
17d ago
"Former" CIA staffs most of the moderation teams. How much of a collaboration this is I don't know. Which is to say, I don't know if they were invited in, or sent in, or both. But IMHO you should treat big tech as an extension of the CIA.
WhiningCoil
17d ago
Stranger things have happened I suppose, but it would be weird for Dems to do it after 4 years of handwringing over voter-fraud conspiracies. Don't think Trump will try anything either given how the last time turned out, unless they'll find a smoking gun.
Scoop: Some top Dems won't commit to certifying a Trump win
Words don't actually have meaning to politicians. They are just mouth sounds they make to keep their job.
WhiningCoil
17d ago
As I see people proclaiming a Harris landslide, I'm pretty sure it means the end of our country if that happens. And yeah, there is the whole "They'll flood swing states with illegals and then grant them all amnesty" angle. But for me it's just the fact that they, be it big media, three letter agencies, George Soros, etc, were able to brainwash the country into voting for a rando with a 19% approval rating with zero democratic input or vetting during a primary. If that succeeds, it's over, we're no longer a democracy. If people will rubber stamp whoever the CIA tells them to elect, we're fucked.
WhiningCoil
20d ago
I let myself get talked into getting Factorio: Space Age last week. I just got my space platform going. What do I have to look forward to now?
WhiningCoil
22d ago
If "Boo Outgroup" now means "Pointing out with references the things the ruling party does" instead of Chinese Robber shit, or random non-representative headlines, might as well shut this place down.
WhiningCoil
22d ago
Stop doing what?
WhiningCoil
22d ago
Maybe. But there is also an election in 6 days, so you know, seems like a good time to go over grievances from the last 4 years.
He won't. Fairfax County will deliver all the federal employees who are beholden to Democrat make work projects. Also the Clinton political machine is deeply embedded in Northern VA. There is a reason she picked Tim Kaine as her VP pick back in 2016.
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