SophisticatedHillbilly
No bio...
User ID: 1964
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
Given how much effort they spend monitoring right-wing portions of the internet, probably actually yes.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
Wait, how do airline stocks work?
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
Social shunning. My impression is that most people in the big leagues would lose most of their social connections if they ever said or did something that goes against the grain too far. Money isn't really the focus for most when you're that high up, it's getting to sit at the Cool Kids Table 😎.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
Yeah, expected outcome is absurd in this circumstance. Should someone who is 1% likely to have committed a crime have to serve 1% of the sentence? No, they're either guilty or innocent, and the whole point of the system is to find that out. It is admittedly broken at the moment, but only because we need somewhere around 10X the number of judges/clerks/courtrooms/prosecutors/defenders/bailiffs/police etc that we currently have. Not sure why no one ever seems interested in growing the infrastructure to match the population, but so it goes.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
Clearly, we need a 5-axis voting system:
- agree/disagree
- high-quality/low-quality
- ingroup/outgroup (relative to Zorba, of course)
- red/blue (not the tribes, just the colors)
- short/long (to finally end that whole length=quality issue!)
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
So do all the people screaming absolute bloody murder about the fact that their mail-in-ballot was filled out and submitted without their knowledge (until they checked) count?
Now I have to admit that my experience may be somewhat unusual: I worked as an on-the-ground political activist for about a year during 2020, and was simultaneously working for a tier 2 news organization.
What this means is that I talked to a LOT of people (>10,000) about politics during that period spread over a very wide area of a purple state. For many, I was the only target they had to complain or yell about what was upsetting them, so they did.
Most common fraudish complaints I heard were:
- People going to sign up for a mail-in ballot and discovering that their ballot had already been submitted.
- Sending in a ballot early, but it never being received, and then having to vote in person anyway.
- Ballot harvesters asking who they voted for before collecting ballots. (They would offer to collect them regardless. The fear is that they would put disliked votes into a "do not send" pile.)
Such complaints were primarily, though not exclusively, from Republicans, and almost exclusively those in and around Republican stronghold areas.
I heard these things many, many times, at least a couple hundred each. This combined with my own experience with activism (we were actively told to lie and commit crimes to convince people, though I did not ever do so) makes me extra suspicious of the more partisan campaigns.
There were only 2 cases where someone said they were pressured by their partner into voting for someone they didn't want to. Both seemed somewhat politically disengaged, and I discovered this only because I was like "oh, did you vote for Biden/Trump?" and they responded with "yeah, but not because I wanted to" and explained. They didn't seem particularly upset about it.
So, is that evidence, or does the hysterical screaming only count if it's for the exact reason you wanted?
What would evidence of this look like exactly? I'm not a huge fan of most of the "election was rigged theory" but it seems to me that there's nowhere for any manipulation to blatantly show up if it did happen. The system isn't built to catch it.
Any evidence in favor of it will just show up as more irregularities than usual, each of which is explainable by itself.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
Also fair, though I'd just say that I read a lot of his works in chronological order, and I don't remember ever being confused on what was meant by the Cathedral. I think he did a good job of gradually introducing facets of a very large term, though I understand why some may find the style obnoxious (personally I enjoy it).
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
I'd say it's much more like how if you try to read later works by a philosopher they are frequently a brick wall of incomprehensible terminology and seemingly nonsensical reasoning, but only because they spent the earlier works defining terms and explaining ideas, some of which are compacted from essay-length down to a single word, and they aren't going to go back over the basics every time they mention a concept.
To use an example closer to this community, if I were to say "The Molochian tendencies of the Red Tribe and Blue Tribe are a result of the toxoplasmosic interplay between competing egregores" it requires reading like 4 of Scott's essays to understand.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
While I understand your point, in some sense taxation is the central example of theft.
How many people get robbed each year? How many get taxed?
How much money gets stolen? How much gets taxed?
Any examination of other forms of theft are basically looking at weird hobbyist fringe-thieves.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
I don't doubt that what you and @07mk is true, but it's worth acknowledging that a situation where 1Cp gets sold for 100X is far better than a situation where 100Cp get sold for 1X. I don't doubt some will continue to want real stuff, but the point is that it would be possible to reduce the amount that is produced.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
With sufficiently good AI art, it won't be possible to tell the difference. If nothing else, it craters the value for anyone who would create the real deal for money. People would still exchange verifiably older images sure, but crushing the creation of new stuff is the goal.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
Testing, testing, testing. Unless it's too late, that is?
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
Not if you consider "successfull," to be "having genetic children that will themselves have genetic children." Not everyone agrees with that, but we're all descended from those who did.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
Very different setup, but I've experienced the exact same issue before. Nothing fixed it until I replaced the CPU completely, but YMMV
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
Worth taking into account how these apps work though. If you go an extended period with no one swiping right on you, your profile's mmr drops, eventually into a bracket that has no real women in it at all, and your profile simply won't be seen. At that point you could change it to "7ft NBA star + astronaut" with pics to match and you wouldn't be able to match.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
I disagree on a few core points: I understand blue tribe is their own thing separate from the Democratic party, hence my point about blue-tribe conservatives.
The majority of the country watches, listens to, eats, drinks, and generally has the values and preferences of blue-tribe. First generation immigrants do not, but second-generation do by a massive margin. Perhaps the one major exception is LGBT issues, but that does not disqualify them completely.
Minorities may have a fewmajor cultural differences with blue tribe, but they align far closer than they do to red tribe. Immigrants typically are not at all supporters of the small-government, pro-gun, pro-christianity, pro-self-sustainability, pro-private-property-rights, anti-elitist, anti-intellectualist value set of the red tribe. AADS are probably the closest match, but they try very hard to signal that they are not of the red tribe, and red tribe does the same in return.
Do minority groups behave exactly the same as blue-tribe whites? No, but they aren't meant to. Many cultural groups have different roles for different classes of people, and blue-tribe is no exception.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
unnecessary unproductive labor, because the universal 40 hour workweek is expected
I'd argue that this is not because of demanding the 40 hour workweek, but because most productive labor is illegal. If mining things, growing things, and building things were less stringently controlled, then we could have more people actually producing instead of sitting in desks pushing pointless papers for 40 hours per week.
The alternative of cutting the workweek is fine if we just want to rest on our laurels I guess, but I'd rather let people advance.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
A few points:
I think you may be somewhat underestimating the impact that the COVID election law changes had on turnout. Democrats are typically low-effort voters, and so gained hugely from the expanded access. Not sure how many of those changes are still in effect, but something to find out.
Good points on Jan 6 and Dobbs. I think some who are immersed in the conservosphere forget just how big those points are to the rank-and-file voters.
Additionally, I think conservatives have a habit of underestimating just how many blue-tribers the country has at this point. Like sure, they're mostly in a few cities or whatever, but it's probably 65-75% of the population of the country by now. The red tribe is vastly outmanned currently, though demographic trends will shift it back in 80ish years or so barring major cultural or tech changes. Blue-triber conservatives, meanwhile, tend to forget that they functionally don't exist as far as democracy is concerned.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
Mormons would probably pull it off okay, especially since the hardliner Mormons still have steady tfr. Plus I don't think the tfr would keep declining once exposure to the monoculture is cut off.
Genetically, I'd choose the groups that settled the prior frontiers with minimal homeland assistant: the Borderers, Mormons, and certain Germanic groups. Pick some traditionalist subsets and go. How many people does a generation ship really need? 500? 5000? Either way it's so small that you're best off looking for weird small subgroup that is optimal for it rather than selecting people who are good at playing our society. High IQ is somewhat important, but not massively so as long as they're like 100 average at least, with a few especially bright individuals. I'm sure engineering a generation ship requires elite IQ, manning one likely does not. Probably a few solid Asian groups that would fit the bill, but I'd be hesitant given the lack of prior history of frontier-settling.
Beliefs-wise, nearly any cohesive religious group is fine. They do exist. It's not as if we live in a 100% atheist society.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
Only a blackpill if you for some reason have no respect for strength or power, which would be odd given how important they've been for all of history.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
I don't follow. What exactly is that no-cost intervention? Or is the point just that the question is: "Would he still hate black people if they are productive members of society?"
Honestly asking. I don't get what you're saying.
Edit: never mind, I get it now upon re-reading. Leaving this to mark my shame.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
Going to second the reading aloud thing. My family would alternate who would read the stories between the best readers each night, and it remains perhaps my fondest family memory of all. We would read all sorts of things, but LotR and Of Mice and Men stand out to me. The former because it started a long obsession with Tolkien's work, and the latter because there is nothing quite like sobbing along with your family to a beautiful book as you try to choke out the words.
SophisticatedHillbilly
1yr ago
The issue is that controlling the executive is a team game nowadays, and so this could largely be resolved if the GOP was actually Trumpian.
Do you think Biden can control the executive? No. He has people for that. Trump needs people. The GOP is just really bad at playing to win, and even worse at caring about what their voters want.
They = federal agencies, state agencies partnering with those federal agencies, contractors for either of those, subcontractors for any of those, and any company or nonprofit "voluntarily" assisting any of the above.
Right-wing portions of the internet = any portion of the internet that are primarily used by those with conservative leanings, or where conservative ideas are not restricted or throttled.
How do I know that they get monitored? The feds have stated repeatedly that the largest domestic threat is the extreme-right wing (even in the bills https://www.congress.gov/116/bills/s894/BILLS-116s894is.xml authorizing surveillance by these agencies) and it is well known that they have incredibly extensive surveillance systems (I can go into detail, but a simple Google search will take you far.)
To assume right-wing spaces are not infiltrated would require assuming one of:
I do not have a source where they say "WE ARE MONITORING YOU" in flashing neon lights however. That doesn't get declassified for about 50 years or so.
More options
Context Copy link