Quantumfreakonomics
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Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
2014-Era Neckbeard Shaming is BACK
"These Guys are Just Weird" is the new ad from pro-Kamala super PAC Won't Pac Down. You really do have to watch it to viscerally understand the impact. I am not gifted enough with words to give it justice. It's not clear if this ad will ever air on tv (seems a bit racy for that), but the internet is where modern elections are won or lost.
As grossly offensive as I find the ad, I cannot deny being impressed. Just a few days ago I pointed out that Democrats need better messaging if they want to persuade voters. This kind of appeal to base instinct is exactly what wins elections. The ethos of "when they go low, we go high," sure sounds good at dinner parties, but it likely cost Dems the 2016 election. In some sense, I truly think they were afraid of the sheer effectiveness of Willie Horton. It took Trump to scare them enough to pull out the stops.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
I am surprised that you had trouble understanding the economic gap between men and women. Women dominate the economic sectors of health-care and education (especially administration). These are also the two sectors being pumped-up by government-subsidized demand. Of course they won’t vote for the gravy train to end. The male computer engineering graduates aren’t the ones who are expected to default on student loans. It’s the female psychology majors.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
If this data isn't normalized for geographic location (on the neighborhood/zip code level) or income, then all it tells you is that stupid people live in poor areas.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
What do you think is the base rate of dudes in Vance's demographic having ever fucked a couch? I suspect it is a lot higher than you would expect.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
I just turned on NBC this morning hoping to watch some olympics and the first thing I see is some chick's hospital selfies. I had to switch to USA network showing badmitton to get some action.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
I thought the part where the opera singer raised her fist as she sailed past the blood of beheaded nobles being emptied into the Seine while heavy metal played in the background was a bit much.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
They're using the entire waterway as the stadium? Kinda hard to rehearse things like this.
France has always been gay and cringe. It was a good idea for them to lean into it.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
What is the appeal of sushi? Specifically the raw fish. I decided to try a big bowl of raw fish at my local sushi bar, and like, it was fine. I ate it, but all I could think about was how much better it would be thrown on the grill with some MSG.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
Why is she asking for money instead of using her ads to tell me why I should vote for her?
I continue to be stunned at how bad Democratic messaging is. They don’t say, “Donald Trump tried to steal your vote, and he’ll do it again if he gets the chance,” they say, “Donald Trump is a threat to ‘democracy.’” Things are actually pretty good in America right now. Why are they running on abstract concepts instead of things people care about?
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
No, if you’re the Republicans, you want to keep applying pressure to cause chaos. The one thing that will kill Democrats in the election is if they start admitting that they have to run a worse candidate because of diversity. You want the special interest groups at each other’s throats for as long as possible. This has the capability to drive long-term resentment of the establishment among sections of the Dem base.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
Kamala is looking to be president soon. She doesn’t want to normalize using the 25th amendment.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
If he was hit by glass, then that leaves open the possibility that it was staged. No one would ever stage being shot in the ear at long distance.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
It would be bad for Biden to give the most impactful speech of his career (dropping out and endorsing Kamala) if he is visibly sick. They want to move past sickly old Joe and focus on other things. Having one last “our president is about to die” video go viral is the last thing Democrats need.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
I do wonder if it’s the algorithm. It’s weird seeing End Wokeness, Matt Walsh, and LibsOfTikTok as the top replies on every single Democrat tweet.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
It is really funny seeing Twitter accounts that just yesterday were decrying the campaign to remove Biden as playing right into Republican hands suddenly shift their tune and celebrate Joe heroically doing the best thing for his party.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
It might confuse voters who don’t want to vote for Ben Shapiro. I’m not kidding. It would be less stupid than the voters who couldn’t figure out what the giant arrows on the butterfly ballot meant.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
One man’s gaffe is another man’s folksy charm. I think people are overestimating the impact of things like this when compared to Trump or Biden
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
I don't know if they're liable or not. I doubt Crowdstrike knows if they're liable or not.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
I had a flight canceled today. I am fucking livid. This was over 12 hours after the rollout. Luckily I was able to get rescheduled onto a flight tomorrow, but frankly I have no confidence that that flight will happen either.
I was just going on a silly vacation. I cannot imagine how I would feel if I missed something important. There will never be justice for this. In a fair world, Crowdstrike would be sued into bankruptcy like Purdue Pharma. I'll be lucky if I get a drink voucher out of this.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
Their net revenue is under a billion a year. The total economic damage caused by this single bug is almost certainly larger than the total net income of the entire history of the company. In fact, it is almost certainly larger than the total gross income of the entire history of the company. I do not know where the valuation is coming from, but it certainly isn't from their revenue figures.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
Checking to see if my flight will be delayed due to this. It still says "on schedule", but following the chain of "where is this plane coming from" backwards in time to see where my plane is, I see one flight where the expected departure time is before the expected arrival time of the airplane.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
Reports are he’s lost Barrack. It is now officially Joever.
Regarding whether he steps down from office or not, I doubt it. That would be a very dishonorable way to go out, but I do think there are conversations going on about whether Kamala has a better shot if she gets to run as an incumbent.
Security doesn’t just impose monetary costs on the entity paying for the security. It imposes procedural costs on everyone remotely involved.
You can’t simply say that the Secret Service has ≈unlimited resources and so they should be able to provide ≈unlimited security. The social cost of the TSA is not its $11 billion annual budget. That doesn’t account for the lines at airport security, the pain in the ass of having to buy tiny bottles of liquids to take on the plane, the patdowns, the detainment for “bomb”jokes, or the bodyscans.
In a similar way, if the Secret Service was as trigger-happy as people expected them to be, we would have a lot more accidental shootings. Maybe a nearby business schedules roof maintenance for the day of a Trump rally. What do the agents do when they see a guy carrying a big tool bag up a ladder onto the roof? Shoot?
EDIT: Along similar lines, here’s a story that sounds plausible to me. I doubt Trump himself wants secret service telling him what to do all the time.
Quantumfreakonomics
3mo ago
At long last we will build and distribute the Experience Machine from the classic philosophical thought experiment “Don’t Get Into the Experience Machine”.
I don't think you can just play the "who is weirder" game. As aesthetically revolting as alphabet people can be, it doesn't push the same disgust buttons as, "these are the people want to be inside you," does to young women.
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