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NewCharlesInCharge


				

				

				
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joined 2022 September 04 19:09:11 UTC
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NewCharlesInCharge


				
				
				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 04 19:09:11 UTC

					

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User ID: 89

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“Donald Trump claims, without evidence” is essentially the same statement Trump has made about Kamala’s fast food job.

It’s Harris that has made the positive claim and Trump says there’s no evidence.

The surprising bit is that the Harris campaign isn't targeting men with this but women, as indicated by ad targeting spend.

The tweet says it targets about 65% women.

65% is also roughly the portion of single women that identify as Democrats.

I would not be surprised if it is that dumb.

The Biden administration is suing SpaceX over its hiring having disparate impact to asylum seekers.

The first is uncontroversial. They even coined a word, lumpenproletariat, for this class of society. They emptied the prisons and enjoyed the fruits of disorder.

The second is speculation on why Soros is engaging in supporting DAs that don’t want to prosecute criminals. He’s been doing it long enough that the results are clear, and he’s not an idiot given how he generated his fortune. If he doesn’t believe that the immediate effects of these DAs are achieving a goal, he must think they are instrumental to some other goal.

I would expect a bias against left wing accounts since the demographic they target for engagement performatively doesn't pay for premium.

Communist revolutions have made use of common criminals to disrupt authority and undermine the legitimacy of the current government.

I’m mostly sure that’s the whole point of the Soros DAs.

indeed, we now know that more genetic variation exists within any one racial group than between racial groups (Lewontin 1972, 397).

Have seen this cited many times, just now got around to giving it a read.

Given it’s 1972 of course the authors aren’t working with fully sequenced genomes, they’re using 17 blood group markers. They’re also using racial groupings that put South Asians in the same category as the Irish.

I expect that genes correlated with traits that people associate with race such as skin color, epicanthic eye folds, height, etc. will vary between groups as they do according to visual observation.

I think the rise of LLMs has revealed that we have at least two distinct ways of thinking. Next token prediction is the most common, and what I’m engaged in now that I’m trying to communicate an original thought. Given the germ of an idea, we can almost unconsciously generate a stream of words to describe it. iOS is even suggesting many of the words I’m composing now.

I think anyone who has been in a conversational flow state can intuit that there’s something like an LLM in their heads.

When I see Kamala seemingly surprised at where her sentences end up, I see next token prediction.

Have you read Eastman’s thoughts on the election? I find it compelling that the constitution mandates state legislatures decide how to run elections and the executives in many states abrogated that power unto themselves as part of a Covid emergency action.

What’s the remedy there except to get the legislatures to explicitly endorse an election outcome?

Among other things, this interpretation doesn’t really jibe with the Great Commission.

Christian agape for a Haitian voodoo neighbor would involve getting them to stop practicing voodoo and turn to Christ.

That was the media lying about RLHF.

Amazon Fresh had the best model for this, Just Walk Out. Cameras watch everything you do, associate you with the items you pick up and walk out of the store with, and charge you.

Unfortunately a few weeks back the store near me abandoned this. Now they've got a regular self checkout and "dash carts" that are basically a mobile self checkout, where you still have to scan items. According to Amazon customers didn't like it, which is baffling to me. Here's the press release: https://www.aboutamazon.com/news/retail/amazon-just-walk-out-dash-cart-grocery-shopping-checkout-stores

The accuracy was perfect in my experience. To use Just Walk Out you'd have to scan your Amazon app when you entered and exited. Maybe folks figured out a great way to defeat the tech and theft was too great? But if not then they'd be much harder to defeat than regular self check out.

In my state of Washington in the last legislative session we allocated $150,000 to study the idea of digital driver’s licenses. The study is due at the end of this year. Maybe in the upcoming session we can get a bill passed to implement them and then in another year, minimum, they can roll out.

Conviction requires consensus. The system is biased strongly against conviction. The defense only needs one juror to take their side. The prosecution needs all of them.

I think the case is even stronger for juries here: failure to convict requires just one out of twelve to hold out on voting guilty.

Jury dynamics of the "I just want to go home" variety make this weaker, but I think it's still quite strong. One in twelve gives you a good chance of drawing a concientious and disagreeable person that would always refuse to vote guilty if the evidence was unconvincing for them.

But what can I do? If I don't eat that amount, I just go around feeling hungry all day, unable to enjoy anything or focus on any kind of productive work, until my willpower finally snaps and I scarf down whatever is at hand.

What would you do if you were an adherent of a religious tradition that called for fasting? The restriction isn't for the benefit of your own health, but rather divinely commanded, and mandates not less food permenantely, but no food for a day here and there, or when the sun is shining one month per year.

Information on this system is scarce. Seems they’re practicing security by obscurity, I hope they’re doing quite a bit more.

Montana is in no danger of going for Kamala, at least at the moment, so I’m not super concerned about this one instance, but I also had no idea this existed. Do other states allow for this? ChatGPT says Alaska, Arizona, and West Virginia also have such systems.

If these aren’t being red teamed and having their source code audited by actual security engineers they’re almost certainly insecure. Government developer salaries are pitiful and attract low tier developers.

Most consumer devices are locked down in a way that prevents you from dumping the firmware. They’ll have UART disabled completely, or maybe if you’re lucky it might be programmed to support a connection if you provide power to some undocumented pins on the microcontroller.

And assuming you could dump the firmware, you end up with a binary that’s going to be nontrivial to analyze. There’s nothing human readable to give you context clues. Maybe an LLM could help to more quickly analyze, I haven’t tried.

Probably your best bet would be to watch network traffic to the devices, and try to catch it polling Mossad for whether it’s time to explode. But even then they’ve demonstrated the ability to trigger without need for internet access, assuming “walkie talkie” is a mere CB radio.

I wonder if they’ve also tainted Hezbollah ammo supplies, that’s a trick that’s been done before and is also greatly demoralizing.

I think it’s important to know how backlogged the hospital was. Some are chronically slow due in part to people using the ER as others would use a primary care doctor.

It could be the case that this was a triaging error that had nothing at all to do with the specifics of her case.

Or maybe it was actually good triage and there were even more urgent conditions occupying doctors before they could get to her.

why the fuck is the most powerful country on the planet apparently incapable of deploying world-class secured online voting?

As an industry professional, this is a terrible idea. We can’t even reliably secure private systems where the consequences of failure can be ruinous to their owners. These systems are too complex and the incentives are too great to find holes to exploit.

Even if we could somehow guarantee that the servers were bulletproof, attackers would still have a vast exploitable surface in the clients.

This was the stated reason on the podcast I listened to, perhaps Cleared Hot, that featured an ex Secret Service agent discussing the first Trump assassination attempt.

The rules that govern balloting aren't at all uniform. I suppose you could have a gentleman's understanding that electors would just vote for the replacement even if the ballot could not be altered. But then the electors might expose themselves to liability under faithless elector laws. Some states don't merely punish faithless electors, they automatically cancel their votes and replace them with an alternate.

This kind of job is hard to fit in an hourly scheme, though. Do I go submit my time card with the random times I spent solving problems in my head while showering, walking my dog, etc.?

And if so, how do we prevent trivially easy abuses?

Maybe lawyers can provide an example? ChatGPT tells me they don’t typically bill for time spent purely in thought, but rather only for time spent drafting briefs, meeting clients, etc.

But for software engineers the time spent actually writing code is typically dwarfed by the time spent deciding what you actually need to write. This is how you can have an immensely productive hunt and peck typist on staff. WPM is not the bottleneck.

They avoided it when possible, but managers at the McDonald’s where I worked in high school would still schedule me above forty hours when their options were limited. Bummer would find many other teenage workers away on vacation with their families, and not everyone was trained to work every position.

Also that 1.5X multiplier was amazing for me at the time, and I’d jump at any opportunity for it.