NewCharlesInCharge
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User ID: 89
NewCharlesInCharge
18d ago
Am I misremembering how Presidential campaign losers tend to behave on election night? I think I remember Gore, Kerry, McCain, Romney, and Clinton speaking to their supporters on election night, delivering the bad news but giving some message of unity or thanking everyone for running such a great campaign and such.
Kamala has decided not to speak to all of the people that showed up for her party at Howard University. She's said that she'll speak tomorrow.
NewCharlesInCharge
18d ago
I think we'd elect an Iron Lady, but Harris and Clinton are the opposite of that.
NewCharlesInCharge
18d ago
Prophetically inclined Christians would be aware that Jesus was very clear about his coming will be like a thief in the night, and that no one knows about that day or hour, not even himself, but only the Father knows.
NewCharlesInCharge
19d ago
My toddler had a massive blowout this morning and I’d like to think this is a Groundhog Day style prophecy.
It was on his right side.
NewCharlesInCharge
19d ago
With the electoral college a legislature has incentive to help their preferred candidate win, but they only need 50% + 1 to do that.
Without it a legislature has incentive to put as many votes on the board as possible. So if your state leans hard in one direction, it helps your candidate to do maximize number of votes cast, so you have incentive to be lax on election security excepting coordinated attacks by the other side.
NewCharlesInCharge
19d ago
My state’s online voter registration accepts many forms of identification, but doesn’t require any that would prove citizenship. You just have to affirm you are a citizen, and are informed it’s a crime to lie about it.
I don’t think they have some database to cross reference things like driver’s licenses with citizenship. If they did, I wouldn’t expect my permanent resident friends to have gotten called for jury duty, and yet they have.
NewCharlesInCharge
19d ago
That’s one reason why the electoral college still makes sense. If votes are pooled nationally but elections are run locally then you’re incentivizing states to be as lax as possible to pile on the votes, trading validity for volume.
About a decade ago in Washington, which is fully by mail, we had some conservative counties start offering free postage for ballots. Very quickly the state moved to make free postage universal.
NewCharlesInCharge
22d ago
Small businesses? Totally possible that they pocketed the deducted payroll tax and never reported to SSA. Many such cases.
NewCharlesInCharge
22d ago
NewCharlesInCharge
23d ago
Make the thief, if convicted, liable for the lost wages. If they can't pay, have the state front the money and charge the prevailing interest rate to the thief. If they malinger once out of prison, impress them and make them work it off laboring for the state.
NewCharlesInCharge
23d ago
On the podcast Vance says that Trump got excited about how cool it would be to suddenly announce Vance as the VP pick in Butler, and then was talked down from it.
So Vance probably had a feeling of already narrowly missing death that day.
NewCharlesInCharge
23d ago
Reminds me of the summer of 2020 when the mall a few miles from my home, closed for months due to the pandemic, was overrun with looters in broad daylight, and police were ordered to stand by and do nothing. We were less than week into the George Floyd riots. As night fell there were postings on social media that there were guys with guns breaking into shops just a few blocks from me.
I stayed up all night with my guns ready and my eyes on my security cameras.
NewCharlesInCharge
23d ago
During more than one judicial nomination she's called the KoC extreme for opposing abortion and gay marriage and her line of questioning for the nominees implied that membership is somehow disqualifying. URL is yahoo.com but this is from the National Review: https://www.yahoo.com/news/brief-history-kamala-harris-knights-140302014.html
NewCharlesInCharge
24d ago
My politics went from “what policy is best for society” to “friend or enemy” as a result of the 2020 riots, censorship, and covid policies.
Harris went after the fraternal charitable organization in my church and every Catholic Church in America, the Knights of Columbus. She’s my enemy. I can’t in good conscience vote for such a person.
NewCharlesInCharge
25d ago
There’s a meme that has developed that Biden is consciously tanking Kamala and this would be consistent with it.
Why was he even on some video conference at this moment? Kamala was holding her rally just outside the White House at this exact same time. Yet Biden wasn’t there. Maybe she told Joe he wasn’t wanted. Perhaps she thought him a liability. Or simply this was Her Moment.
NewCharlesInCharge
26d ago
I am in principle, but if we’re funding and teaching leftist civic religion then my religion ought to at least get to be a privately funded alternative.
NewCharlesInCharge
26d ago
In Washington state at least you can print the ballot from your home computer if you claim that the one mailed to you was lost or ruined. You can even have it printed with selections you make online: https://wa.omniballot.us/sites/53033/site/app/ob/ballot/mark
I can't find any evidence that this is the case in Pennsylvania.
But also what are the security measures? I doubt there's anything like a cryptographic signature or even a hologram, or even a ballot ID that you can't easily guess or look up. Likely you'd just need the right paper stock and a decent printer and you could create passable mail in ballots. You already have all of the identifying information you need. The only hitch is maybe the people at the addresses you used would send the ballots back and the elections office would catch on, but maybe most people just aren't so concientious that they'll return to sender rather than throw it away.
NewCharlesInCharge
27d ago
One consistent thing about Trump is that he's of the belief that America has been getting a bad deal internationally and has had poor leadership. You can see this back in the 80's when he was on late night talk shows complaining about America's standing relative to Japan.
NewCharlesInCharge
29d ago
The market dived at the very end of 1987. Black Monday was 10/19/1987, and the market lost about 20% of its value on that day alone. Overall the S&P500 went from about 330 before Black Monday to about 230 in the weeks after. It took two years to get back to the previous peak.
I'm also guessing Trump took a hit from Black Monday, and that the Forbes estimate is both lagging and imprecise.
NewCharlesInCharge
1mo ago
Has he gaffed on the other podcast appearances? I figure if he had I would have heard it about many times from mainstream media sources.
NewCharlesInCharge
1mo ago
All the podcasts I've seen him on have been great. Bryce DeChambeau probably the best, though that's not so much a podcast, but is unscripted. Theo aughn was also great.
I think his big weakness is speaking solo. He'll start with a script and then just ad-libs and sometimes it's gold and sometimes it's foot-in-mouth, but it's mostly just red meat riffs and people aren't going to stick around to see if there's any good stuff unless they already like him.
NewCharlesInCharge
1mo ago
I didn't think I had any paper records of working at McDonald's any longer, but on a whim logged into ssa.gov to see if they did. And they do. Employer name, address, EIN, and reported earnings are all there.
Just click "Review your full earnings record now" and then on the subsequent page "Take a closer look" to get links to details for each year.
Anyone who had a job in the 80's care to see if their records are online?
NewCharlesInCharge
1mo ago
The pipeline to Congress favors types capable of setting their own hours. Most employers aren’t going to tolerate you disappearing for a couple of months because the state legislature is in session.
And state legislature pay is not great, so either you’re independently wealthy and don’t care, need to keep grinding while being in office, or you’re a scrub and the pay is an upgrade.
I once saw a lady who earnestly said she needed the money when she came before a local party endorsements committee for some small local office. And the pay was around $30,000.
NewCharlesInCharge
1mo ago
Maybe social media has kept people more in touch in my generation, but I can reach out to no less than four people that are direct connections on Facebook who I worked with at McDonald’s circa 2002 when I was in high school.
I just played a round of golf with one of them about a month ago.
And I’m not even much of an extrovert, much less a politician.
With the current counts Trump is guaranteed at least 269. The worst outcome given that is a tie, in which case the Republican controlled House would choose him as President.
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