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MadMonzer

Epstein Files must have done something really awful for so many libs to want him released.

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joined 2022 September 06 23:45:01 UTC

				

User ID: 896

MadMonzer

Epstein Files must have done something really awful for so many libs to want him released.

2 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 06 23:45:01 UTC

					

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User ID: 896

Given that Iolanthe is described as looking 17 (despite being an immortal fairy, and the mother of 25-year old Strephon), does this mean that Iolanthe is now banned in Australia as simulated CP? I suspect not, but I know that G&S would want to set the resulting lawyer jokes to music. Perhaps you could add a comic dance number after the Fairy Queen turns the Australian Parliament into kangaroos.

Actual paedophiles (in the sense of men primarily attracted to prepubescent children) exist, we even had one on the Motte. But they are vanishingly rare - the number of actual prepubescent kids molested by actual paedophiles each year in the UK appears to be in single figures.

Men fucking sexually mature teenage girls is illegal for good reasons, but it isn't really deviant - ephebophilia is just normal straight male sexuality, and 13 year old girls with periods used to be marriageable essentially everywhere (though rarely married in practice in cisHajnal cultures).

The other thing that is an unfortunate aspect of normalish sexuality is pederasty. The age at which a boy becomes attractive as a twink to a man who wants to fuck twinks is even younger than the age at which girls become attractive to ephebophiles - Greek boylove started when the boy was 12 or occasionally even younger. I think social scripts around modern gayness-based male homosexuality (versatile means bottom!) have developed in a way which mean that Greek-style boylove is no longer considered a normal part of male homosexuality and this has done more than horror at paedophilia to get NAMBLA kicked out of Pride.

And we don't give the general public access to trucks, partly for exactly that reason. Even in the hoplophobic UK, it is harder to get a cat D endorsement on your driving licence (needed to drive a vehicle over 7.5T) than a rifle permit. Lahouaiej-Bouhlel had taken a job as a trucker about a year before the incident - it isn't obvious if this was a long-term evil scheme like Atta's flying lessons, or if it was a career decision that created an opportunity down the line.

Given the dates, I'm going to guess that the FBI didn't have the ABC photo when they put out the reward - they are specifically asking for something like the photo.

and the reason it can't protect against attacks like this is that it let an ugly/unpopular Progressive token minority off the hook while acting to punish everyone else

Empirically, the only way you can protect against spree killings by psychos is to deny the general population (many of which are unfortunately, undiagnosed psychos) weapons.

Iran-Contra was a crime, but not a mistake - it succeeded in its goals. Failure to take Iran seriously as a long-term enemy was a mistake, though not, I think, a big one at the time - focusing on defeating the USSR and leaving hostile non-aligned countries alone was obviously the correct big-picture call.

From a general right-wing perspective, Reagan's biggest mistake was no-fault divorce. From a right-populist perspective, it would be GATT.

From a factual perspective, Reagan was wrong bigly about Star Wars (it couldn't be implemented with 1980's technology) and where the US was on the Laffer curve (the Reagan tax cuts blew out the deficit in a way their supporters claimed they wouldn't), but in both cases the consequences were of the "trillion dollars here, trillion dollars there" type rather than anything potentially catastrophic.

This is SOP in the UK for three reasons:

  1. Laws protecting the privacy of minors. You can't publish identifying information about a minor, including a minor criminal, without the parents' explicit permission (which won't be forthcoming for criminals).
  2. Reporting restrictions to prevent press coverage prejudicing the jury pool.
  3. Newspapers don't have any kind privilege against defamation liability when republishing police statements. (They do when republishing statements made in open court or in court documents). Naming a suspect who turns out to be innocent is a good way to get sued, unless you have court proceedings to base a claim of privilege on. So newspapers only name names after the arraignment or if they are taking a calculated risk.

Point 2 is how Stephen Yaxley-Lemmon (aka Tommy Robinson) was jailed for "reporting on grooming gangs" - he made podcasts (that would have been accessible to the jury) where he described the not-yet-convicted defendants as "Muslim child rapists" and continued to do so after receiving a suspended prison sentence for contempt of court. Ironically, he appealed (unsuccessfully) against his own conviction on the grounds that media coverage had prejudiced the jury pool.

All of these measures (and the debate among lawyers and journalists about whether they are a good idea) long predate mass immigration and the Great Awokening - journalists back in the 1980s were bitching about how US-style tabloid crime journalism was illegal in the UK. (The only change in recent years is that Reynolds provides qualified privilege to newspapers who practice responsible journalism and make an honest mistake, which would be relevant to point 3 if the defendant was a public figure).

In this case, I assume the assailant is a minor so nothing interesting about him will come out unless the parents waive anonymity or the judge rules (only after conviction) that the crime was so severe that it would be appropriate to override it.

Good point. You can plausibly argue that the US and Iran have been in a state of undeclared war since the embassy siege. (Which was a perfidious surprise attack)

Most normie Americans who have thought about the issue - the denominator already excludes the vast majority. Unfortunately you can't poll "Americans who have thought about Puerto Rico".

Yes, but not because it's terrorism.

Blowing up a cabinet secretary would be an act of war, and if Iran wants a war then "Bring It On" is a reasonable response - doubly so if they start it with a perfidious surprise attack rather than by declaring war.

Ukraine and Russia are already at war, at Russia's choice. It is a defensive war for Ukraine, and if they are successfully defending themselves by blowing up Russian cabinet secretaries, then Russia should either suck less or start fewer wars. As a matter of international law, Ukraine can defend themselves all the way to Vladivostok if they want to and have the military ability to.

Then we very much agree.

A drop of 0.3 children per woman in 2 years seems cliffy enough to me.

People Aligning Relationships, Employment, Ninos, Toddlers, Sprogs?

Seriously, you don't need a cute term for married parents. They should just be normal.

Anecdotally, the long-term drop is mostly driven by reduction in fertility among the parous but the cliff-edge drop some countries have seen post-pandemic is driven by reduced couple formation. I don't think the paper you linked breaks the trend out by decade.

Quant here, though at a bank and not a prestigious quant firm. Top 1% of intellect is thick as pigshit. The kind of retard you find in your local MENSA chapter. The sort of intellect we are looking for hangs out in the tearoom at CERN. To get hired at Jane Street based on conventional demonstrations of extreme intelligence, you need to be top 0.001%. The actual IQ threshold to do the job is probably only top 0.01% if you go the interesting and visible route discussed by @DirtyWaterHotDog.

Who watches track and field between Olympics? But Olympic track and field is the centre of the sporting universe for two weeks every four years. The Summer Olympics have a cultural cachet that can make obscure sports matter.

I can't comment for the US, but in the UK the Winter Olympics never had any real cultural relevance except during the era when Torville and Dean were competitive in ice dance.

Standing a long way from the windows, presumably.

Mostly, Puerto Ricans want statehood - in other words formal democratic equality with the 50 states. But statehood doesn't run that far ahead of the status quo in Puerto Rican politics. Puerto Rican independence is a politically marginal cause in Puerto Rico, although Bad Bunny happens to personally support it.

What Puerto Ricans should want is repeal of the Jones Act. I don't know how much of a big deal it is in Puerto Rican politics, but a few CONUS libertarians who support this have said that they think Puerto Rican statehood would lead to repeal of the Jones Act in short order.

But Scandinavia with their generous social welfare is not really doing much better.

At the margins, Scandinavia (and France, which now has an even more generous welfare state) were doing better than other Europeans pre-pandemic, but Scandinavian fertility took a dive during COVID-19 and didn't recover. (Despite Sweden's successful lockdown-lite approach). France remains one of the highest-fertility countries in Europe.

Whatever the real explanation is, it applies across the west, and even more so in first-world Asia. Feminism has the wrong dose-response profile (within countries, patriarchal subcultures are more fertile, but if patriarchy was fertility-enhancing at a national level then first-world Asia would be doing better than Europe, Hungary would be doing better than the UK, and Korea would be doing better than Japan). Urbanism seems the most likely story on a superficial look, although it hasn't hurt either Modern Orthodox or Haredi/Hasidic Jewish fertility.

Farming in temperate climates is dramatically different from farming in the subtropics and tropics. When you don’t have winter, your growth cycles never really end. A well-run plantation would have fields constantly ready for harvest.

And yet the standard stereotype of climate effects on character is of hard-working Nordics and indolent tropicals. On any other board I could just say lol racism and it would end the conversation, but I actually think there is an interesting question here.

Every culture does "salute to rural poverty" once rural poverty is in its past. As a committed urbanite, I find it strange too.

The Little House books are the Anglo American version.

The point is that the NFL is a full fledged market

It's a cartel, not a market. It participates in the spectator-sport-as-entertainment market, but the competition in that market is the FBS, the NBA, the NHL and MLB (in the US) or real football (in export markets, which do not call it soccer). Not the other teams.

One of the interesting questions in marketing spectator sport is how you handle the balance between sport as manufactured spectacle and sport as a profitable part of traditional culture. When the big team owners in European football got together to propose a US-style European super league with franchise teams protected from promotion and relegation, the hardcore fans mutinied. And the people who market European football think that the commitment of the (very local and traditional) hardcore fan base is part of the product they are selling to the Asian TV fans. Gridiron now has a market segmentation with the NFL being pure manufactured spectacle A/B tested for audience appeal by professional showmen while the FBS tries to stay true to its roots while absorbing a torrent of money.

FIFA and the IOC are as hated as they are because they are the places money is most likely to be able to break the traditional culture of sport - they have enough reach in the first world for the big money to be interested in them, but enough involvement from the third world that they can't resist the money by saying "no" the way UEFA or MLB can and do.

ruthless capitalist competition

American pro sports, including the NFL, are socialist. Drafts, salary caps, revenue sharing etc. The team that finishes bottom of the league gets a participation trophy in the form of first pick in the next year's draft.

European football (soccer for Yanks) is the ultimate capitalist sport. All players not signed to long-term contracts are free agents. Teams can spend as much as they want as long as the source meets "financial fair play" rules. (Basically, there is a limit on how much a billionaire owner can subsidise a money-losing team - there is no cap on money from ticket sales, merch sales, or genuine commercial sponsorship). The team that finishes bottom of the league gets relegated.

Paul Graham once said that the Europeans know that capitalism works, because when they actually care about winning they allow winners to get rich, but the only thing the Europeans care about that much is soccer. And we do care that much - football replaced war in the European consciousness after we discovered how destructive war could be when fought with the level of skill and determination you see in the Champions' League.

Many such cases. Woke whites lump together ethnic minorities in order to manufacture a political coalition that doesn't exist on the ground, and then act all *surprised Pikachu face* when said ethnic minorities preserve their own identities. Nobody self-identifies as BAME, POC or BIPOC, and as far as I can see the only Americans who self-identify as Hispanic or Latino are the ones who are so well-assimilated that they have lost touch with the specific Latin American country their ancestors came from. The only black people who self-identify as Black first (rather than with a specific tribe or country of origin and as Black second) are ones who lost their roots due to being descended from slaves.