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MadMonzer

Temporarily embarassed liberal elite

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joined 2022 September 06 23:45:01 UTC

				

User ID: 896

MadMonzer

Temporarily embarassed liberal elite

4 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 06 23:45:01 UTC

					

No bio...


					

User ID: 896

Per BBC coverage which is consistent with X discussion, 5 British citizens resident in London, early 20's men. The poorly-lit news photos of the arrest (British police don't publish mugshots) imply that they aren't black, but aren't clear enough to distinguish "probably European" from "probably Middle Eastern".

Given the ages, these won't be naturalised immigrants. Either they are British-born, or they were brought to the UK as children by their immigrant parents. Conservative (i.e. partisan, not generically right-wing) poasters are dunking on Reform and Restore poasters who speculated that they were small boat immigrants. The addresses given by the police are in sufficiently wealthy parts of London that we can assume that they were living in social housing, although we don't know if they live with their parents or not.

I do not think the "diesel thief" theory is plausible - diesel thieves would not have travelled all the way from London to rob a US airbase. My initial guess is that the 5 were working for the Iranians, but but @orthoxerox's theory of radical leftists motivated by Israel-Palestine is also plausible.

If they are Iranian, they are lawful combatants (but fighting out of uniform, which means they forfeit most of the protections lawful combatants usually get under the Geneva Conventions) - RAF Fairford is a US airbase and the US is at war with Iran.

Donald Trump's personality and style

Also the dishonesty, personal corruption and incompetence. I don't think NeverTrump Republicans' main objection is that Trump is uncouth. In this cycle, most non-lefties who are NeverTrump would say that "he did January 6th" is the strongest argument for opposing him that isn't about policy.

You can collapse most people's views into what they think about Donald Trump.

Donald Trump's personal approval ratings poll at minus a gazillion, but the GOP is still going to get well over 40% of the vote in the midterms. There are a lot of double haters out there, many of whom voted for Trump in 2024 and some of whom will vote for their local Republican in 2026, and an even larger number of grillpilled normies.

In real politics, there is no shortage of centrist Democrats who either signed the Harper's letter condemning wokestupid or secretly wanted to, and the only reason why there are so few NeverTrump Republicans and conservatives is that MAGA successfully purged them from the movement.

Something about the current online environment (probably the algorithmically mediated impact of what midwit political junkies click on) tends to turn online political spaces either 100% wokestupid or 100% MAGAtarded. The Motte isn't immune, although we are holding out better than 99% of the competition.

Yes, but I suspect most mil-sf writers are not faking it.

Joseph Smith was a freemason before he founded Mormonism and there are numerous Masonic elements in Mormon ritual, so it would be Masonic. Catholic is plausible based on my read of Mormon doctrine - that there is an anti-anti-Catholic strand - as if Smith was pushing back against the radical Protestantism of the Second Great Awakening - but Masonic is obviously correct in this case.

Please don't - that is confusing, particularly given the high rate at which leftists and theatre kids actually troon out in the strict sense.

I think the strict meaning is useful and should be retained. There isn't an alternative short word for the process of deciding that one is transgender.

Stable oligarchies are possible at a range of intervening ratios. The most famous is the Venetian Republic, with a hereditary Great Council of about 2000 people, out of a total population of 2.5 million (1000 ruled to each ruler) of whom about a tenth were nominal citizens with certain privileges and the vestigial right to approve the Great Council's choice of Doge (100 citizens to each ruler, or about 25 adult male citizens to each ruler). I would argue that the same is true of England from the 1688 Glorious Revolution (when the Commons became the most powerful part of the constitution) to either 1868 (when all urban heads of household got the vote) or 1884 (when rural heads of household got the vote) - the property-owning middle class* who had the vote was about 7% of the population or 20% of the adult male population (5 adult male citizens to each ruler).

The Roman Republic is a more complex case because it had different assemblies for different purposes with different franchises, but the centuriate assembly which elected the consuls was de facto controlled by the patricians, eques, and first class of plebians - which collectively represent probably 10-20% of the adult male citizen population (with the vote further weighted in favour of the higher classes and men over 47 years old within each class). This arrangement lasted a few hundred years from the fall of Tarquins to the rise of Marius and Sulla.

* The famous 1832 Reform Act was mostly about fixing the constituency map so that the middle class vote was meaningful, not enfranchising more people. Although it did widen the franchise a bit by updating the definition of property-owning middle class to reflect Victorian social realities.

the US right has never really made "blood and soil" or ethnic tribalism in general a core pillar of it's identity

If by "the US right" you mean the conservative movement and not the GOP, "never" is an exaggeration. Buckley is absolutely explicit that Jim Crow is part of what he is trying to conserve in the 1950s, and he staffs his movement with southern segregationists. The Falwell/Robertson religious right was also lousy with segregationists (including Falwell but not Robertson) and made protecting segregated Christian schools one of its core issues.

Buckley himself recanted in the 1960's, but the movement eventually got rid of the segregationists one funeral at a time. If I had to pick a date when the American conservative movement (again, not the GOP) stopped being led by segregationist dead-enders I would run with the handover to a younger generation of leadership (in particular, Gingrich) around 1994. Not coincidentally, this is also the date at which the distinction between the conservative movement in the country and the non-RINO GOP ceased to matter.

It is definitely the case that the US right has been far less prone to ethnic tribalism than right-wing movements in Continental Europe or democratic countries in Asia. It isn't obvious how it compares to right-wing traditions in the rest of the Anglosphere.

Ward Churchill would have got away with it if he hadn't made crass comments about 9-11. And I assume there are more male fake Indians who didn't do anything cancellable who did get away with it.

You can publish mil-sf without doing any of those things. I know women who have published mil-sf.

But you are right that Baen books or Black Library doesn't care how many disabilities you can fake.

There have been 11 witnesses of the golden plates who have maintained their accounts to be true

And none of those accounts establish a causal link between the inscriptions on the plates and the English urtext of the Book of Mormon revealed to Joseph Smith through the use of the seer stones. That is what I mean by Mormonism not needing the plates.

I detect cope in at least one sense of the word.

"Native" anything as a racial or ethnic descriptor was never a standard way of talking about civilised people - most of the Google hits on "Native British" are for plants. In 1900 as in 2026, people using "native", "indigenous" or "aboriginal" to refer to a subset of British people were probably comparing more-indigenous white British people to less-indigenous white British people - either Welsh/Scottish/Cornish Celts to the Anglo-Saxon invaders, or the English to Norman invaders. We have deep enough recorded history that people whose family came over less than 1000 years ago don't generally self-identify as any of those things.

Native (in the proper sense of the word) British English speakers who want to draw the distinction DHH is making just say "White British" which is in practice unambiguous. I have heard "Indigenous British" used as by intelligent racists as a deliberate trolling of anti-colonialist types. "Native Brit" as used by DHH is mostly a tell that DHH himself isn't one.

As I remember London says that the fraction of "native Brits" in London has dropped to about a third. Clicking the link (which is to the Wikipedia article on ethnic groups in London) suggests that he uses "native Brits" to refer to people who tick the "White British" box on the census. (I tick "Irish" because it won't hurt me professionally and might help, so according to DHH I am not a "native Brit" despite having four grandparents who were drafted in WW2). The literal English meaning of "native Brit" is, of course, someone born in Britain - and London is still about 60% British-born.

"Britishness is tied to skin colour and being born in London does not make you a native Brit if you have the wrong ancestry" was cancellable back in the 1970s when Enoch Powell was cancelled for it.

They are being held up for public ridicule in the Boston Globe, which is somewhat to the left of Pravda. That isn't exactly being disowned and purged, but the only more official way that the pro-establishment left could say "We're sick of these people" is to say it in the New York Times.

I've read someone who claimed that democratic republics live around 250 years on average. The only exception is Switzerland, but it is a very unusual polity.

Switzerland hasn't been a country for 250 years, let alone a democratic republic. Before the Napoleonic Wars and the Congress of Vienna, Switzerland didn't claim to be a sovereign federal state - it was a treaty alliance between cantons that were de facto separately sovereign under the Treaty of Westphalia. The Canton of Bern was by far the largest and most powerful canton, and was notoriously oligarchic.

If you count America as continuously republican since 1776 or 1789, you would say that Switzerland has been a democratic republic since it was reconstituted after the Congress of Vienna (i.e. 200 years, a slightly worse run than the US). If you think a constitutional rewrite as a result of a civil war is a break in continuity, then Switzerland has been continuously democratic and republican since the end of the Sonderbund war in 1848. (Which is a slightly better run than the US)

Switzerland's political stability is remarkable given the multi-lingual, multi-confessional nature of the country, but it wouldn't stand out against the Anglosphere countries. Part of this, of course, is that the Anglosphere countries have the advantage of not having land borders with Napoleonic France/Nazi Germany/etc.

These clowns (and not just the ones that went to clown school) managed to flip Bernie Sanders, or at least get him to put up a "Workers of the World Unite" sign while doing lefty politics. And Bernie is a much bigger man than Kamala.

Noire paints himself

Does anyone know if "gender-expansive lesbian using he/him pronouns" is a new type of bulldyke or a new type of autogynephile?

And incorporated or not, all of these community types can be a "suburb" in the legal sense - the legal definition of a suburb, which is simple and useful and should be retained even if we have an alternative definition based on urban form, is a municipality that isn't the core of it's metro area.

It's cheap enough if you buy that insulation collectively the way first-world Asian cities do.

I very much agree. There are two great questions about the self-driving car era that we don't know the answer to yet:

  • Will self-driving cars be hired like taxis or will they be privately owned? Or in other words, will people still own a car once renting it on the spot market not longer adds the cost of a chauffeur.
  • What is the geometric constraint on cities in the world where self-driving cars are the main form of transit? (From Babylon to the Victorians, it was walking distance. In the private car era, it was parking scarcity first and carriageway scarcity for moving vehicles second)

My experience is that Dr Google isn't great at differential diagnosis, and absolutely sucks at "What are the potential diagnoses I should be thinking about - either because they are likely or because they are moderately likely but serious - as a Bayesian inference from this set of symptoms?"

The only reason we "know" that WIV was doing gain of function research on-site is that a virus leaked and caused a pandemic. There is weak circumstantial evidence that they were doing gain of function, but officially they were only collecting the virus samples and the dangerous work was happening elsewhere.

If John is known to hang out with fraudsters, this is Bayesian evidence that his lottery win is fraudulent, but it is much weaker evidence than knowing that John is a criminal himself. The lottery operator would need something better than "While not a known criminal, John hangs out with fraudsters, so his lottery win is probably fraudulent" to deny a payout.