JTarrou
2hr ago
And you figure you can hang your hat on his word? You have more faith in the man than I do.
JTarrou
11hr ago
Maybe, or maybe because the negotiations have an end in sight and the battlefield doesn't. Hard to say, we know nothing of the diplomacy and due to misinformation, less than nothing about the military state of things.
JTarrou
11hr ago
How badly has it gone? The US has decimated their leadership, owns their skies, is blockading their sea access, taken single-digit casualties and the best they can do is raise insurance rates on shipping and the price of oil a dollar a gallon. I don't know your background in military history, but that is not traditionally the sort of outcome seen as a loss.
At the same time, there has been a major realignment of the Sunni nations against Iran and toward rapprochement with Israel and the US. This has been partially long in the works, partially due to Trump's specific policies, and partly due to Iran bombing everyone in the middle east in their hissy fit over not being able to do shit against the US air force. Even if the Iran campaign isn't decisive, this realignment might be the biggest setback Iran has experienced in their modern foreign policy. The Shia crescent is broken. And somehow, people keep telling me how badly Trump is doing. Enlighten me!
JTarrou
14hr ago
After two weeks of getting passed over, you may be right. Can you believe these scrubs don't want the venerable JTarrou to judge their cases? I bet they're intimidated by my intellect!
JTarrou
15hr ago
For me, within the first half hour maybe. The conversation felt like the sort of thing I wouldn't mind doing for a long time. Knew pretty quickly I wanted to try for a relationship, see how it went. Second date I told her I wanted a relationship, within a couple months I told her I wanted the relationship to be indefinite. That's when she let me know about her infertility. Great for me, but could have easily been unacceptable.
Broadly, I'd say my gut was pretty correct pretty quickly. Certainly the first night I met her, before we ever went on a date. Wasn't so much "amg soulmates" as "I can work with this".
JTarrou
15hr ago
JTarrou
15hr ago
Once again, your entire theory is based on a lot of wild assumptions using as evidence things you can't possibly know (i.e. how long the Iran war was "planned", which is not in any way how military operations planning works.) You assume that Trump is incompetent because you think the timeline was different to what has happened, which you know because of your seat on the National Security Council, presumably? Assuming Trump wasn't lying that time? Assuming whatever you based this on was reported accurately and without bias, as any article about Trump always is?
I mean, it's silly but hard to get worked up over. Women are always trying to bully men into emasculating themselves, if you've reached adulthood without the ability to resist that.......I got nothin for you. This is kindergarten stuff.
If anyone is confused or autistic, try a warm smile and the word "no". It's the most beautiful word in the language. Let it roll off your tongue. Let it flow through you. "No". Do not explain. Do not apologize. Do not elaborate. Never adorn your "no" with anything further. Say it cheerfully, as if someone offered you a drink you don't like. "No". You aren't in school anymore. You are an adult, a free person. Tell them no. Choose, and communicate.
Don't whine that you didn't have the intestinal fortitude to resist the social pressure of a middle-aged woman. And certainly don't whine that culture and the government didn't tell you it was ok to resist the social pressure of a middle-aged woman. You don't need them, you've got me. Tell them no. It really is just that easy!
edit: By hilarious happenstance, I'm on jury duty this week, haven't been picked yet. We'll see how it goes, but I guaranfuckentee I won't be in a costume by the end.
JTarrou
20hr ago
I left plenty of space in that napkin math to account. I stand by my wild-ass-guess.
If this is so detrimental to Europe and obviously incompetent, why is Kier Starmer easing the same sanctions?
The defunct Tories pounce:
The Conservative leader, Kemi Badenoch, posted on X: “After 18 months of ‘standing up to Putin’ the Labour govt quietly issued a licence allowing imports of Russian oil refined in third countries.
“Yesterday Labour MPs voted against UK oil and gas licences. We are now importing from Russia instead of drilling in the North Sea. Insane.”
JTarrou
1d ago
My experience is that most girls have a very horny section of the dating cycle, that often exceeds the male at that particular time. This in no way means women are hornier than men on average and over time.
Most people call it the "honeymoon period" or whatever. For me, it generally started about a month into the relationship and lasted six to nine months. If you stay together, this usually dies down pretty quickly and pretty drastically. Or you can break up and start over, trying again and again to experience that new-relationship feeling.
If you've had multiple 2+ year relationships in which the women were still hornier than you at the end, I'd guess you have a lower-than-average male sex drive, or you have the special Sex Panther pheromones.
JTarrou
1d ago
just being not fat or actively ugly gets you to a 4 in a lot of markets as a woman.
Roughly two thirds of women 18-35 are overweight. Just being not fat gets you to at least a five, probably a six. A non-fat, non-ugly girl in that age range is in the top 25% of available women.
JTarrou
1d ago
I'll grant you every single one of those, triple the results, double that just for fun and 40 year olds are still not as horny as teenagers. Anyone telling you that is lying and you need to be asking yourself why. You also need to be asking yourself why you would want to believe something so obviously and provably false? What sort of mental hill is that getting you over? What benefit could it possibly be to anyone to delude themselves about such basic natural phenomena?
JTarrou
1d ago
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/doj-eliminates-obama-era-slush-200100938.html
The practice of directing funds to nonprofits with a mission somehow related to the harm done by the accused was adopted under the Obama administration. The practice resulted in millions of dollars being funneled to social service agencies and advocacy groups especially when it came to settlements with large financial institutions.
JTarrou
1d ago
That's some bizarre logic based on a lot of very shaky assumptions. But it probably helps to start with the theory......
JTarrou
1d ago
So absolutely anything that adjusts the price of oil is proof positive of Russian stoogery?
That should be a long list!
JTarrou
1d ago
We don't get that option, we only get Trump or the Democrats.
If corruption bothers you, politics is going to be a rough hobby.
JTarrou
2d ago
You could say "more brazen", or you could say "more honest".
Trump has been saying this openly from the beginning, how he legally bribed all the right people because that's how the world works. His schtick has always been "I'm a member of the corrupt elite, but on your side, as proven by the hatred of your opponents".
Much of the horror at his various schemes and policies has been the breaking of kayfabe, which of course is always part of kayfabe. No, Europe, you don't have an independent foreign policy, now pay your dues and be good client states. Yes, we will fuck over our enemies and replace their governments if we can. Yes, we do want their oil. No, you can't legalize discrimination against the majority of the country in the name of anti-discrimination. It breaks all the social norms and self-delusions of the ruling elite.
JTarrou
2d ago
My logic is that the Dems are funding their political activism with taxpayer money, and have been for a very long time. This has been entirely uncontroversial to you personally. It is ridiculous to expect that the other party will hold to their "principles" and let them have a structural advantage permanently. Eventually, they will find someone who will exploit all the loopholes their opponents have been. Like Trump.
I can summarize all TDS with the childhood lament "Mommy he hit me back!".
JTarrou
2d ago
This is a wild statement with some hefty logical problems you might want to offer some evidence to counteract.
JTarrou
2d ago
Is your contention that Trump ordered his own IRS to leak his financial records? Or was that part of the "resistance" so popular in the first Trump term?
JTarrou
2d ago
This is old stuff, this is how lawfare is done. You troll around the courts until your party is in office, then you settle the case for yourself, and give billions of taxpayer money to "Charitable organizations" that happen to be your political allies, and that's how you fund your politics. The only thing that is new is that Trump is doing it on the Republican side, rather than this being a one-party thing due to the control of major cities.
Complain about corruption if you want, but no tool of lawfare stays in only one toolbox. The entire reason the left hates Trump is that he does politics back to them. They used the Deep State to leak private financial records? Now Trump hits back. After a hundred felony counts and the blanket decade-pardons, I don't ever want to hear a criticism of Trump's dirty dealings without the full disclaimer. It's not corruption when the other side has been doing it for eighty years, but it is very precious special pleading.
Yeah, there's no way of getting reliable information anymore, so it's all going to be seen in retrospect.
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