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Glassnoser


				

				

				
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joined 2022 October 30 03:04:38 UTC

				

User ID: 1765

Glassnoser


				
				
				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 October 30 03:04:38 UTC

					

No bio...


					

User ID: 1765

What is your general strategy for making money on prediction markets and crypto?

I don't think anyone here wouldn't be able to remember Scott's name.

It could be. I know very little about it

Trump’s mom was born in the Outer Hebrides in a Gaelic speaking household, people forget this.

I posted a comment the other day about the impressive social skills and conversational abilities of my grandmother and her brother's amazing storytelling ability. Her entire family and that of most of the people in the community she grew up in were from the Outer Hebrides. Many of them, including their parents, spoke Gaelic as a first language.

It might be worth noting that she was known for making things up if it made for a better story.

It's not a good interview. Trump is a very boring person to listen to. It would be more interesting if someone who knew more about politics and economics would interview him and challenge more of his assertions, but that might just get hostile and he might refuse to answer. He used every opportunity to go off topic and avoid answering direct questions.

He did well, but mainly because he knows a lot about boxing and MMA and they spent half the interview talking about that, and Rogan didn't push back too hard when he kept dodging questions by going off on rambling tangents. He tried to bring him back a few times, but he would give a vague answer and then immediately veer off topic.

Harris is terrible at interviews and I don't see why she wouldn't have gone on the podcast unless she knows that.

Wouldn't it make more sense to decide that after becoming extremely smart rather than now when I'm still relatively dumb?

Does a majority of online young men even support Trump?

I was thinking about this with respect to social skills recently. I don't have good social skills and neither do my parents. I'm sure it's partly genetic, but my grandmother had incredible social skills. She remembered everybody and she remembered details about them. She was an excellent conversationalist who never ran out of things to talk about. Even into her late nineties she maintained an active social life, going out and making new friends. She never passed on an opportunity to meet a new person and she'd remember them. Her brother was also similarly talented, in particular being really good at telling hilarious stories, which he had an endless supply of.

I used to think this was entirely innate, but I learned that the house she grew up in had a constant stream of visitors. My mother told me that every time she visited her grandparents, there were always visitors and they'd come for half and hour and then leave. Then someone else would come, all day every day for years as far as she knew. My grandmother and her brother would have spent their childhoods entertaining and talking to adults. I also know that , as children, they did a lot of visiting themselves. For Christmas, they would go to each house, stop for a while and talk to the family there, and then move on to the next one.

This is completely different than how I grew up, where adults would only visit occasionally and as children, we wouldn't talk to them much. I think the way my grandmother was raised played a big role in the development of her social skills.

As far as I can tell, your first message makes absolutely no difference. I almost always just wri pplte "hey" now and that usually gets a response.

I don't recommend unlatching if they don't respond. One of my exes that I met on Tinder had been ignoring all her messages and then just scrolled through them all and responded to mine a few months after I had sent it.

I think most people are fine with not texting between the planning of the date and the date itself, but I have had people cancel on me because of that.

The last time I met someone new that I ended up going on a date with was eight years ago. In that time, I've gone out with at least 60 people I met online. The idea that I shouldn't do online dating is incomprehensible to me. I would love to meet people, but I just don't see how that's possible. It was extremely hard in university (I never went on a date in university) and it's only gotten dramatically harder since, especially since covid.

I can match several people this week and set up a date or I can go several years without meeting a single person I'm interested in. Online dating is clearly useful.

The vast majority of my excessive drinking was before 21. 21 was actually around the age I decided I should prioritize my health and not drink too much. I was much more mature than I was just a few years earlier. Also, if 18 year olds can get access to alcohol, it makes it a lot easier for 16 year olds to get access to it. My friends and I drank way too much in high school and we mostly got our alcohol from older siblings.

I totally agree that it's ridiculous that people over 30 are getting carded. This is not a thing in Quebec, but in the rest of Canda, they're way too strict about it. There's no law requiring them to do it though.

How are 18 year olds getting around without drivers licences given that so many of them live in suburbs now?

It's hard to check my answers because I don't remember most of the names, but the one I was most confident was human was human and the one I was most confident was AI was AI. I agreed with you on which painting was best.

I'm pretty sure I recognized a few of the paintings too.

EDIT: I got 33/49. He seems to have forgotten one of them in the answer key.

Notes on Europe (Dublin, Northern Ireland, Marseille, Paris, Edinburgh). I was recently in Europe for two weeks, mostly in Marseille. It was my first time in six years and my first time in these particular countries. The most notable thing is how thin everyone was. I rarely saw a fat person. The contrast with the US is incredibly stark.

Dublin and Marseille are very dirty with lots of garbage everywhere. Marseille in particular has a lot of garbage and grafitti. Belfast is much cleaner than Dublin. Paris is very clean. So is Edinburgh, though I was there only very briefly.

Most things in all these places are very expensive. Gas is double what it is in Canada. Food in restaurants is extremely expensive, especially in Dublin and Edinburgh. Hostels were surprisingly cheap, but regular hotels were very expensive.

Scottish people are really nice, even (maybe especially?) airport staff. Irish bus drivers are some of the rudest people I've ever met.

With the exception of Paris, I found the transit systems in all these places hard to figure out.

French restaurants are staffed very inefficiently, with a lot of staff just standing around doing nothing much of the time. This is in stark contrast with Canadian restaurant staff who always seem to be rushing, probably busier than is optimal since it's always hard to get the bill.

The price being the price in restaurants and stores was really nice. I loved not having to worry about the sales tax and the tip and usually not having to round $x.99 up to $(x+1).

The Irish countryside with its huge green hills is incredibly beautiful. I've never seen so many cows in my life.

Marseille is chaotic. Cars are parked all over the sidewalk. The level of disregard for the rules of the road was almost third world. Mopeds are very popular. The streets are narrow. France, in general, is really bad at signage. They somehow manage to screw up basics like arrows pointing where you need to go.

In Marseille, a lot of people just sit around on the front steps of buildings they don't live in. They didn't look homeless. Lots of French people sit around in cafés with cigarettes in the most stereotypically French pose imaginable.

The local Marseillaise accent is very strange, though many people didn't have it. People were quicker to assume I didn't speak French than in Quebec, but not likely to deal with this by switching to English. They usually didn't speak English unless they were in a very touristy area, in which case their English was often excellent.

The majority of the population in Marseille seemed to be North African or Middle Eastern.

There were some nice places to hike or swim just outside the city, but most of the beaches were not very nice. They were small and crowded with pieces of wood and seaweed everywhere.

People in Europe are much better dressed than in Canada, especially Parisian women. I found it notable that it rained in Paris and almost every single person was carrying an umbrella (which they don't seem to know how to avoid whacking people in the face with). I'm from a rainy place where most people don't bother with them.

Unfortunately, lip injections are very popular with British women. Don't they know how awful they look?

People seem to love drinking in Dublin. The area around Temple Bar is crazy on a Saturday night. The bars were packed, the streets were full of people, and unlike back home, most people are visibly drunk. There were a lot of signs in the city informing you where alcohol wasn't allowed. There were a lot of methheads in Dublin walking around like zombies in the middle of the day.

Finally, I suspect the Irish wouldn't like to hear this, but Ireland seemed very British to me. It felt like I was on a BBC TV show. I haven't been to England, but I got the impression Ireland and the UK are much more similar to each other than either is to any other anglophone country (though I've only been to Canada and the US), at least on the surface.

There is a lot more I could say, but I think that's it for the less expected observations.

P.S. Since I was on dating apps the whole time, maybe I should comment on that. I usually get a lot of good matches at first when I go to a new place. This was very much the case in Dublin and Paris where I matched a lot of beautiful women right away. I had a much harder time in Marseille, and Edinburgh just doesn't seem to have very many good looking women, though I did eventually match some beautiful women in all these places.

Orchid is still extremely expensive and only offers very marginal benefits. The costs will go down and the benefits will increase.

Part of it is just people thinking it's weird. I know a couple doing IVF and I suggested they use a service like Orchid and they just kind of looked at me like I was crazy. They didn't give me any reason why they wouldn't do it. But people will gradually overcome that.

By the way, I didn't know having children when the mother was young affected the child's IQ. How big is that effect?

That just proves my point. They think those kinds of investments are worthwhile in some areas but not in others, so why should the government go in and invest money in areas professional investors have decided are not worthwhile?

A lot more people will do IVF when it allows for genetic selection. The only reason to do IVF now, which is very expensive, is to deal with fertility problems. If you can make your children smarter, it pays for itself.

These things sometimes go the other way though. For example, in Canada, but only in some US states, it is legal to resist an unlawful arrest. It's also legal everywhere in the country to secretly record a conversation that you are a part of, which makes easier to defend your rights.

We also have far more reasonable laws regarding age of consent. We don't have people being put on the sex offender registry for urinating in public or for sleeping with someone a few months younger.

This is not consistent with what I understood the law to be in Canada.

They should subsidize public goods, which it is not.

Why does a small fledgling industry ne a boost from the government? Isn't that what venture capital is for?

Actually a relative of mine married a Cornell Economics PhD and moved back with him to South Africa where he rose to be deputy governor of the South African Reserve Bank and supposedly only wasn't appointed governor because of his wife's opposition to apartheid.

Why would selling your car be any better? Its value will be equally affected by the recession.