Forgotpassword
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User ID: 1865
Forgotpassword
14d ago
Also surely decent delta of 'significant health event which disqualifies him from the presidency without actually killing him'
Forgotpassword
15d ago
From memory Trump got to like 60-70% chance to win in betting markets.
Forgotpassword
15d ago
They could just have had a somewhat flawed process that happened to align with the final consensus last time. These things are such tiny sample sizes.
Forgotpassword
2mo ago
Yeah when it was genuinely an unknown and there was Fog of War I understand the first few weeks, but it being a 2-year saga (and still ongoing for some resolute bunker dwellers) is/was insane.
Forgotpassword
2mo ago
Also the rise of social casinos/sweepstakes site are an additional layer of hilarity in that they circumvent the actual laws around online gambling and they're available in far more states consequentially.
Essentially the model being that if you deposit into Chumba Casino (Billions of USD a year in revenue), you're buying coins which can then be used on slot games and then at the end of play you swap those back into real money. Which circumvents the whole structure around 'real money' gaming, which is an insane loophole even as an industry participant.
Forgotpassword
2mo ago
Still there are going to be grey areas where you have retained enough mental faculties to not be 'gone' but you are still nonetheless a burden in the utility scale.
Forgotpassword
2mo ago
Yeah but the tribe that's generally pro-abortion also tends to be pro public healthcare spending and bottomless purse spending on life extension for the elderly and/or their pets.
Which is the confusing issue here since based on all other Blue Tribe beliefs you'd think they'd really be the pro-lifers and vice-versa for the Conservatives. The whole script gets flipped essentially for this one issue.
Forgotpassword
2mo ago
Also the jobs of the 19th century were better suited to human fungibility. If there was still a widespread low-skilled manufacturing base in the West the immigration dynamic changes a lot, IMO.
Forgotpassword
2mo ago
Yeah. The real and constant threat of firearms in US Policing means the dynamic is fundamentally different to most other nations.
Forgotpassword
2mo ago
Yeah, knowing that there's something valuable over the Americas and roughly how far you've got to go/what the weather dynamics are would likely make the process simpler.
Forgotpassword
2mo ago
Honestly I think this is part of a lot of the more deranged anti-colonialism takes, the lack of acknowledgement of how bad human existence has been for the most part throughout history. Various versions of 'child mortality was very high on remote Canadian outposts, surely they were arbitrarily slaying indigenous children' when it's just a byproduct of child mortality being genuinely frighteningly high for most of human history. There's this weird unspoken assumption of a lot of people that 21st Century Affluent Democracy is just the default state of the human existence for a lot of historical revisionist statements.
Forgotpassword
2mo ago
Medical expenditure on squeezing out those last few years far greater than the cost of just being elderly, though. Not only is the person not being productive, suddenly they've got a raft of major intervention surgeries and therapies.
Forgotpassword
2mo ago
How much of that is reproduction rates and how much of that is the combination of the elderly living longer than ever before + costing significantly more than ever before.
Forgotpassword
2mo ago
The greater sinosphere does have a lot of internal crossover between Taiwan, Hong Kong, Malaysia-Chinese, the mainland and other elements which have their own unique voices. Which I think changes the dynamic somewhat versus Japan where their original market was more solid.
Forgotpassword
2mo ago
China cultural exports is also a weird one since there's such an international sinosphere that there's plenty of stuff that has been adapted from regional Chinese markets (Cantopop, Hokkien Dramas from Taiwan etc) for broader adaption across the Chinese sphere without really making a blip on anglos.
I've got a Malaysian-Chinese partner and thus probably consume more Sino content than most people. I've enjoyed some of the modern output (Yolo was actually really fun as a boxing movie but also riddled with a bunch of weird diversions from the standard Western tropes that I found fascinating as a culture study).
Forgotpassword
3mo ago
My wear and tear on the structure and the aging waterheater and whatnot are round off errors in the property value.
Exactly. Amount of people I know who renovate and then try to claim that the 5% appreciation in their house's value in the time it took them is value added instead of just underlying market fluctuations is insane to me
Forgotpassword
3mo ago
I think bringing huge amounts of low tier immigrants with very different beliefs and lifestyles until they viscerally feel disgust at their taxes going to support the degeneracy is the best way to get it dismantled
Isn't a lot of this the reason for the rioting, though? The local untermensch are frustrated by the decision of their 'betters' to import foreign untermensch who make their untermensching lives less pleasant (and frequently are the beneficiaries of programs and efforts to integrate and advance the foreigners that locals don't have access to) whilst fighting for resources.
Forgotpassword
3mo ago
Yeah but that's hardly unusual for womens' sports. The elite female athletes I've met have generally trended towards butchness, and that's been the trend forever. Look at the drama with the WNBA & Caitlin Clark with a tacit theme of 'the traditionally black & lesbian-dominated WNBA don't like that they've suddenly become palatable due to the success of a white woman'.
Forgotpassword
3mo ago
Him being a skilled medical worker and humanizing the process are parts of that, though. Nobody's saying foreign doctors should be kicked out, but moreso that importation of people to fill pointless laptop sinecures which could go to locals preferentially due to producing little but emails and meetings.
Forgotpassword
3mo ago
I feel this all begs the question of the point of recent unskilled migrants. The majority of advanced Western economies are struggling to generate sufficient employment for their native population, unskilled labor is increasingly dead (and what remains is 'unskilled' service economy work which requires cultural awareness and language skills as opposed to the manufacturing of yesteryear) and thus all that seems to happen is a strange choice between either entrenched unemployment or pouring large amounts of resources into attempting to create economic productivity out of the unskilled.
Forgotpassword
3mo ago
Then I saw what happened in cities where drugs were de facto, or in Portland’s case de jure, legalized. The externalities from junkies got worse, not better. Regular citizens have to deal with more theft, more random acts of violence, more derelict homeless camp eyesores.
I personally have yet to see the argument that the trade-offs of junkies are worth occasional recreational drug use. I've sampled most party drugs at some point in my life, and I'm not a regular user of any since, whilst I don't mind having ticked that box, I don't see any need to be ongoingly engaged. And the trade-off I get in return for my society being liberal on drugs is occasionally having RPG random encounters with people who are literally irrational actors.
Forgotpassword
3mo ago
Personally in this era of fentanyl and other absurdities I'd much rather live in a society with zero tolerance for drugs (and thereby mitigate junkie random encounters substantially) than take on the externalities of recreational drug use. I'm living in an affluent Western society presently, and the vast majority of my perceived threat from my fellow citizens is from drug users.
Forgotpassword
3mo ago
I think there's limitations here in the sense that if a random average 5'3 male were to play in the WNBA they'd have a noted baseline advantage but they still wouldn't be the best player in the league due to height handicap.
Forgotpassword
3mo ago
I genuinely think that Khelif's opponent here worked herself into a bit of hysteria since there's ample proof that Khelif isn't some world-ending super hitter with her 11% KO rate in amateurs.
So long as you're not obnoxious about it there's nil incentive for them.
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