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Devonshire


				

				

				
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joined 2022 September 05 13:46:29 UTC

				

User ID: 572

Devonshire


				
				
				

				
0 followers   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 05 13:46:29 UTC

					

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User ID: 572

Dunno if this was a joke that went over my head, but Russia loses significant leverage if nukes are under control of more third-parties.

I understand the logic of "using a nuke is so bad that we need a huge red line and so using a single nuke must invite a complete nuclear response" since I had the same beliefs just a month or two ago.

But I was plainly ignorant of nuclear doctrine and simply had not thought or read that much about it.

Russia/Ukraine using a single nuke will not trigger a complete nuclear response against everyone. But there are lots more rungs on the ladder of escalation.

The response to a single nuke depends on how the single nuke is used. I could see either side simply detonating one in the middle of nowhere to show a willingness to escalate. Or hitting an enemy military base 24 hours after announcing that it will be hit. These are are all very serious steps but letting all the nukes fly is a long way off and all sides know it.

I think the worst part of WFH is that working in an office gave me the muse to let my mind go on crazy tangents.

(Well, crazy tangents that were interesting to other people, I should say.)

I definitely do not want the "ha ha I get the last word" but just that I do not ever need to see it.

It could be entirely client-side now that I think about it.

I have heard this from so many people that my prior is that a substantial minority of people have something wrong with them that ivermectin clears up, and getting rid of that something will improve your covid recovery noticeably. Something includes, yes, worms, but also many other kinds of funk hanging around the body.

So you do not need to keep on taking ivermectin, or have it present in your system when you get infected with covid. But also letting people take a course of it should be easy and not mocked by CNN or the FDA.

I already told you that I am skeptical of crypto-voting systems especially because of user education so switching from "lol what about zero days" to "lol math nerds!" is not really responsive to anything I said.

See https://www.themotte.org/post/86/culture-war-roundup-for-the-week/11192?context=8#context

But if aliens showed up and said they would drop rocks on us if we did not implement an E2E voting everywhere in the country within 20 years, we absolutely could do it, and it would be pretty secure.

I just pulled up Alex's post-summary page, and of his recent articles 6 are clearly about Ivermectin (maybe the others are too but not obviously from the title or summary).

Five of the six of them mention Scott in the title or summary. What. The. Fuck.

Maybe Alex does not know he is acting like a fucking stalker. Maybe no one has told him.

otherwise you're giving one side a blank check to never address valid criticism

I truly and honestly think it is bad that this issue has gotten so little debate.

But it is not Scott's fault that there is so little debate here. Scott has done much more to make sure Alex has his voice heard than anyone else. And the reward is to get constant articles written about him. No wonder no one else wants to engage with this loser.

Alex is picking on Scott because he can pick on Scott. If Alex attacks CNN, no one cares, there is no chance of CNN admitting they are wrong or even acknowledging Alex's existence. But Scott gave Alex some attention once, and the only possible victory Alex has left is getting Scott to admit that he was somehow unfair to Alex.

(Scott has dozens of old articles with the basic complaint "feminists spend most of their energy attacking men who deign listen to women instead of men who abuse women" and this is basically just that all over again.)

It is bad that Alex is in that situation where he cannot get a fair debate partner. But he needs to stop attacking the one person who showed him a shred of dignity once. Do not be the guy who stalks the girl that said hi to him at a party. It is creepy and it sets up bad incentives for anyone to ever talk to you.

Applebee's is largely automated in that most of their food is mass-produced off-site and then heated in a microwave. People who go out do not want to dictate their order to a robot that they might have to outsmart, like I have to trick my washing machine and dishwasher into doing things.

The last mile will always be hard.

Is there a way to block users here?

I am fine with Alex keeping up his beating of this, er, horse. Right or wrong, go on. I have commented previously about how the media has not been fair at all to the pro-ivermectin viewpoint so someone has to keep that torch alive.

But he keeps on wanting to talk about how Scott has not properly dealt with his argument. He mentions Scott twice as many times as he mentions ivermectin. He even grants Scott the honor of being steelmanned.

Alex deciding to keep on holding onto this issue is fine. Right or wrong, it is A-OK for him to keep going on it.

But Alex demanding Scott's attention -- whether or not Alex is right -- needs to be shut down.

Speaking from the minority position, the duty is on Alex to behave in a fashion that makes people want to engage with him, instead of him constantly giving off danger signs that say "DO NOT TOUCH".

I am sure some goof will say HA HA YOU ADMIT YOU DO NOT CARE ABOUT WHO IS RIGHT, THEREFORE I WIN, and

  1. you can never make sure you get the last word,

  2. damn straight, I care much more about not ending up some stalker's new hobby.

I am more pro-ivermectin than the median or mean.

"why are you still talking about it!"

I can get why it seems that way if someone is only absorbing the pathos.

If I pulled up Alexandros's blog today and saw he was still talking about it, I would say "oh, okay" and move on.

But Alex keeps on trying to drag Scott back into the argument. I get that Alex found someone who is not was not treating him like a freak and that was a relief, just like it was for Ralph Wiggum when he got a pity valentine from Lisa Simpson. And now Alex stalks Scott and demands Scott pay attention to Alex's latest argument.

I did a control-F for "scott" on this blog and got sixty-three matches. It shows up over twice as many times as "ivermectin."

So it is not "why are you still talking about ivermectin" and more "why are you still talking about Scott!"

I am not sure who in this conversation said "there will never be a down year" but anyone who said that was wrong.

In an E2E voting scenario, the design goal is (more or less, there are different systems) that you have the math so you can sit at home and verify that your vote was counted, often without anyone else being able to verify how you voted, and even if the people who are running the election are trying to screw you over.

OP is probably complaining about my usage of LARP in a recent thread, which, fair enough, maybe it is not specified enough. But I meant it more like "bored people who have been so well-insulated from the real-world that they go out and do dangerous stuff."

Scott's reward for interacting with this guy is that this guy will now not leave him alone.

It would be kind of cool if there was an expectation that if you request a mail-in ballot you had damn well better return it, and not just change your mind that it is too much work and toss it in the trash. But until we live under that paradigm, I think a 90% follow-through is pretty decent.

But if you wanted to cheat, you would merely need a mechanism to delay likely opponent's votes, i.e. areas where their constituents live.

This is word for word what Democrats said while losing their shit for the moral outrage du jour in 2020 with DeJoy, who was going to stop all the Democratic ballots from being sent in.

I do not like mail-in ballots in general, and I can say why if we want to get into it. But on this particular front, the people who are given the convenience to vote from home can make the reasonable effort to send their ballot in early, verify their ballot was received, or even deliver them to the county clerk.

Canada's financial regulation seems to be "see what America does and wait a few years to see if it is fucking stupid. If not, allow it." It is pretty good but I do not see how America can find someone bigger to watch.

My favorite part so far is that the author correctly handles quotes that cross paragraphs. I think I am in love.

Short version of my theory:

  • Fixed mindset is what is true.

  • But people who believe in growth mindset actually work to their fullest potential instead of sitting on their ass.

I am very uncomfortable with The Noble Lie but telling someone that they are just going to end up wherever mother nature decides is robbing them of something big.

plunged into a recession

The recession does not undo all the growth since the last recession. Even the Great Depression, the very rough picture was that each year of it wiped out 1 year of normal growth.

Network speeds continue to get better, at noticeable and measurable rates.

This would happen in a world both with and without NN.

Sharing health info somehow threatens national security.

When you are an officer in the military? Fuck yes it does.

Soldiers are going to fight to the death at the order of the military. Those soldiers give you critical information necessarily for their survival. And if you somehow decide that this information should be used for your own personal aggrandizement, that is bullet-in-the-head bad.

It is mercy that this person is only facing imprisonment.