Quantumfreakonomics
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User ID: 324
Quantumfreakonomics
1hr ago
He needs to reach 0.99c by February if he wants to outrun the Anthropic Von-Neumann probes.
Quantumfreakonomics
2hr ago
I think it's the gas prices. Most people here drive pickup trucks.
Texas has had a Republican governor ever since George W. Bush defeated Ann Richards in 1994. People were ready to give the backup quarterback a few snaps so to speak.
Quantumfreakonomics
3hr ago
Gina Hinojosa 88% to win Texas governor.
I was mentally prepared for Talarico to win, but this is going to potentially impact my day-to-day life. This is now a cope thread.
Do I need to buy a gun? Should I think about moving to Florida?
Texas is a huge market for business. What happens to stocks tomorrow?
Quantumfreakonomics
3hr ago
Decision Desk HQ projects Jon Ossoff wins the GA US Senate General Election #DecisionMade: 7:18 PM EST
Ladies and gentlemen, your 2028 Democratic presidential nominee.
Quantumfreakonomics
5hr ago
Do the Northern Marianas Islands get to vote?
Quantumfreakonomics
8hr ago
You’re probably right, but Darline Graham isn’t a real politician. We don’t even know if she wants the job. She had a cushy nepo position nobody had ever heard of before Trump plucked her out of the aether.
Quantumfreakonomics
9hr ago
I guess I ought to make an actual prediction, if only to give everyone the opportunity to laugh at me.
Dems win: Maine, Michigan, Ohio, Kansas, South Carolina, North Carolina, Georgia.
Reps win: Texas, Iowa, Alaska, Nebraska.
These are all senate btw.
Quantumfreakonomics
15hr ago
You can tell that their hearts aren’t really in it though. It’s like when dems act like they’re going to be tough on border security.
Roger Marshall might lose re-election in Kansas because when he was a practicing physician he sued patients who didn’t pay outstanding medical bills.
I get why messaging like that plays poorly with voters, but the only coherent opposing position is that patients should not have to pay for healthcare. That’s what dems are running on.
Quantumfreakonomics
1d ago
Separately from the Anthropic question, is one morally obligated to short-sell EVIL Inc. if it makes up a meaningful fraction of the index funds one owns?
Quantumfreakonomics
1d ago
This is the price that we pay for freedom. Nothing like this would be possible in Europe under the GDPR.
Small aircraft incidents are a surprisingly common cause of death for rich people. Commercial airlines are signifigantly safer per passenger-mile than driving. Private jets are not. It's not no-big-deal to jump in a Gulfstream or helicopter every weekend. Don't be like Kobe.
Quantumfreakonomics
1d ago
What’s crazy is, if the polls are wrong 4 points in the other direction, Democrats could pick up senate seats in Louisiana, Florida, and Mississippi, which haven’t even been talked about as being in play.
Quantumfreakonomics
1d ago
The Dem agenda is gibs. Everyone loves gibs. Even old white people love gibs (yes, social security and Medicare are gibs).
Arguably, the Democrats spent the last 10 years shooting themselves in the foot by running on anything besides gibs. Social justice? Institutional integrity? Just tell people you’ll give them free stuff lmao.
The highways around here are full of, “James Talarico will protect benefits”, billboards. That’s it. That’s the message. I don’t see any Ken Paxton billboards.
Quantumfreakonomics
1d ago
There are about 12 GOP Senators who are waiting around for some excuse to vote to impeach and remove Trump so they can blame all their failures on Trump and get back to the real GOP values represented by people like Mitt Romney.
Who? Name them.
Mitch McConnell - Retiring in January
Bill Cassidy - BTFO by MAGA in the primary
John Cornyn - BTFO by MAGA in the primary
Susan Collins - Will be gone in the event of a blue wave. Don’t double-count her seat.
Quantumfreakonomics
1d ago
There’s not a huge difference between 53 seats and 56 Dem seats for the remainder of Trump’s term, but it could have big repercussions for the country down the line. A 56+ seat majority in 2029 with a Democrat house and president probably abolishes the filibuster, packs the Supreme Court, and admits Washington DC and Puerto Rico as states.
Quantumfreakonomics
2d ago
Mossad, if you're listening, now would be a good time to activate sleeper agent Jasmine Crockett.
Quantumfreakonomics
2d ago
The whole point of voting for El Sayed in the primary was to have a candidate who doesn't condemn anti-Israel messaging on demand. That's what the base wants. One doesn't normally expect a four-term Democratic congresswoman to take her ball and go home.
"Haley Stevens will endorse Mike Rodgers if she doesn't get what she wants on Israel," would have been considered a vaguely antisemitic statement three months ago.
Quantumfreakonomics
2d ago
Anything from, "it's bad to contribute to AI killing everybody," to, "it's bad to contribute money to the NGO blob," to, "it's bad to own galaxies."
Quantumfreakonomics
2d ago
Listening to politics inside baseball podcasts, one quickly learns that email lists are the most valuable asset of a defunct campaign. One of the reasons the establishment hates Bernie is that he refused to hand over his email lists to the DNC.
Quantumfreakonomics
3d ago
Anyone have thoughts on the ethics of buying the Anthropic IPO?
Quantumfreakonomics
3d ago
With three days until Election Day, is there still enough time for the Democrats to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory in Michigan?
Cenk Uygur's Rebellion PAC dropped a controversial new ad supporting the Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El Sayed featuring a grocery store conversation about Israel. Some are calling it the most antisemitic ad of all time:
"You're going to have to put those eggs back."
"They don't like eggs anymore?"
"No, they like eggs. But we have to set that $7 aside for killing Palestinians."
"What? I mean, don't we give Israel $4 billion a year anyways?"
"Yeah. And now we're giving them another $26 billion. Do you know how much that is per American taxpayer? It's like $161 per person."
"Apparently, it's costing us a lot of money to drop bombs on Gaza. It's terrible."
Now, I don't think this is a very good ad. It's poorly acted and a bit too on-the-nose, but accusing the political opposition of wasting money on unpopular special interests while regular citizens deal with rising prices is probably the most common political maneuver in modern American politics. Apparently, this ad is at the center of a possible last-minute fracture of the Michigan Democratic coalition.
Haley Stevens, El Sayed's defeated challenger in the dem primary, released an incredibly passive aggressive statement preemptively thanking El Sayed for his "Expected Condemnation of Antisemitic Campaign Advertisement". Amusingly, long-time TYT host Ceng Uygur has been demoted to "Hasan Piker's Uncle". In case you didn't catch the subtext, this is a threat to pull her support (as explained by Haley Stevens's fiance on TMZ for some reason?). Abdul appears to have no intention of disavowing the ad.
This doesn't seem to have affected El Sayed's chances in the prediction markets. He is now up to an 80% chance to win, but I guess we'll see what happens at the black church on Sunday.
Quantumfreakonomics
4d ago
Dentists (and pharmacists) count as doctors. Piano teacher is a well-known housewife side gig. I haven't noticed the bank thing, but I don't go to banks often.
Quantumfreakonomics
5d ago
So the reason I said that Yashar pretends not to be racist is that they do pretty much commit to treating all Israeli citizens the same. The catch is that Israeli citizenship law is itself quite racist, in the sense that there is an explicit ethnic preference for matrilineally descended ethnic Jews regardless of national origin.
Quantumfreakonomics
5d ago
I did leave one option off. Number 5: Something something biotech.
I would probably do a double-take if I heard someone say, “you need to talk to our accounts payable specialist, Xiu Ying Wang,” whereas seeing a name like that on a lab report is completely unremarkable.
Quantumfreakonomics
6d ago
I assume it's above """massage therapist""", but I admit I am unfamiliar with both types of establishments. I don't think I've ever been inside either one.
Uno reverse card - Trump is now distancing himself from Republicans:
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