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Quantumfreakonomics


				

				

				
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joined 2022 September 05 00:54:12 UTC

				

User ID: 324

Quantumfreakonomics


				
				
				

				
1 follower   follows 0 users   joined 2022 September 05 00:54:12 UTC

					

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User ID: 324

An elite media team like Mamdani's would be able to find the exact photo composition and tone needed to pull that off. The more general rule is, "never let the public see your moments of weakness". A single bad photo would backfire.

Actually yes, I consider the journalist reports of surveillance footage more credible. There is an entire cottage industry around bullshit doctor's notes.

This is some real boomer advice. Not quite as bad as, "go to yoga class to meet girls," but it's up there. Doctor's notes are magical bureaucratic talismans, but politics is a street sport. People are too cynical for that nowadays.

There is also no reason to go into the doctor's office for the flu unless you need inpatient hospitalization. You get an over-the-counter flu test, make a telehealth appointment, and ask for Tamiflu. There's nothing else they can do for you unless you need oxygen.

To be clear, we only have a few journalists' word that the purported video exists and depicts what it claims to depict. I don't think the NYT would lie about this kind of thing, but it's hard to convey that sort of intuition. Why not release the footage? I can think of a few reasons:

  • Privacy: It feels insulting to be forced to release security footage of one's own home.

  • Security: It might not be a good idea to give the entire universe of wackos information about your home security system, especially if you are a controversial politician.

  • Game Theory: Being forced into releasing information to correct a baldfaced lie is in some sense giving in to threats, therefore incentivizing more baldfaced lies.

It's hard to know the correct course of action in these situations. Obama waited way too long to release his birth certificate, and we are still living with the consequences. Donald Trump first became a major figure in conservative politics because he was the only respectable person (at the time, Trump was considered respectable) willing to publically question where Obama was born.

It depends on the context. I would not want to use any -igger word in a situation where it could refer to a person. "Digger" is what you call a piece of construction equipment

Digger is currently on pace to be one of the biggest financial bombs of all time, at least Top 5, maybe Top 3

It’s pretty hard to get IRL hype going when nobody wants to say the name of the film in public.

walks up to watercooler “Hey, did you guys see DIGGER? Yeah, DIGGER, the movie. It’s called DIGGER. Tom Cruise is DIGGER.”

The Israeli rape dogs story had a quoted source who attested that they personally were raped by a dog. In the Ohio mental hospital story I have seen vague assertions of anonymous tips, but no one has reported (as far as I have seen) that a source told them that they personally saw Talarico at the facility.

As someone who has no idea what is going on in Pennsylvania state politics, I'm surprised you expected someone to try and bail these guys out. Legal gambling is a lot less popular nowadays than it was even a couple of years ago. The double-whammy of """daily fantasy sports""" and "prediction" markets means that the fig leaf of plausible deniability is now completely gone.

What were the hackers after? Ransom ware?

Seems like pure destruction to me, most likely from a nation state (who else would have motive, means, and opportunity?). Maybe it's retaliation for that Russian bot farm that got blown up?

12 days off with the flu is a long time, but not an insanely long time. So far the only evidence I've seen of the Ohio loony bin theory is

  1. A private plane flew from Austin to Ohio and back, and

  2. Someone called the facility with a fake code, and was told the person they were trying to reach was not there and so must have been discharged.

It also doesn't inspire confidence that the supposed, "More recordings from the Lindner Hope Center about to drop in the morning" still haven't dropped. Seems like a more effective line of attack would be to speculate about what * ahem * other infectious diseases he might have contracted on the campaign trail.

This may be shocking to professional software engineers, but most companies do not put systems on a VPN prior to those systems being hacked.

I mean, will it be allowed on YouTube? Will Alphabet let the US Government upload cinematically shot HD footage of liter after liter of blood gushing out of a gasping human pincushion? Is it going to be aired on Fox News?

I think it's good for footage of executions to be released publically, but I must confess as well that the idea of livestreaming this seems a bit uncouth.

My issue is that, narratively, gender-swapped Draco Malfoy doesn't make any sense as a love interest for Harry.

There is definitely a male fantasy that a nice lady will fall in love with you for no reason at all, because girls and boys falling in love with each other is just a thing that happens naturally, no further explaination required. It took me until I was about 20 years old to realize that this isn't true. A lot of the stories you linked come off as quite juvenile. I suppose it functions as decent romance slop for teenagers.

You don't think autonomous drones, designed and incentivized to mimck soldiers, would form a hivemind?

In a post-AGI world, all topics are AI topics.

They can become janitors too. Knowing complex analysis doesn't make one unable to clean toilets.

Running inference on data centers is a contingent and temporary state of affairs. At a minimum, autonomous weapons will have locally-running AI to protect against jamming.

That doesn't solve the problem. No one will be able to figure out how to bring people back from the dead without AI anyways.

What was the most recent mathematics result that didn’t fall into one of those categories?

"Tomorrow morning, is she going to wish she didn't do this?" I think is the question they should have asked themselves, and I think it was foreseeable that this would be a wise question to consider.

Polite society has been adding epicycles to the consent-alone (solus consensus?) model of sexual ethics for decades: People under 18 cannot consent. People under the influence of drugs cannot consent. People who are subordinate in a power hierarchy cannot consent. None of these really made any sense in the solus consensus framework, but jettisoning consent as the one true guiding light of sexual ethics would open up LGBT relationships to scrutiny, and that would be considered unconsionable.

Given the reaction to the Cornell incident, I think society is finally ready to start looking for alternative ethical models. Everyone has now seen the moons of Jupiter so to speak.

Very few bad things show up in the aggregate death statistics. In Israel, 2023 had less deaths than 2021, 2022, 2024, or 2025. Are we to conclude that October 7th was fake, or that it was no big deal?

Even Paxton’s estranged wife encourages people to vote for him.

Technically true.

This is an actual ad that I just saw on Sunday Night Football. The message is, "our candidates suck this year, but uh, we still need you to vote for us I guess."