DradisPing
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User ID: 1102
DradisPing
17hr ago
A guy with an IQ in the 50s might not even notice he's on it.
He'll probably be sad when his friend the probation officer stops calling and asking him what he's been up to.
DradisPing
19hr ago
These scenarios always seem to end up with either a violent incident where the perpetrators were "on their radar" or a situation that looks like entrapment.
I've heard that the underlying problem is how FBI agents are promoted. They need a bust of a major incident to get a promotion so going in early is a career killer.
So I think this was a good move. It's better to stop a problem early even if you can't get major convictions.
But some of the agents are pissed about it and leaking to MSNBC: https://www.msnbc.com/msnbc/news/fbi-terror-plot-detroit-rcna241148
DradisPing
1d ago
Outside of that, it's rather obvious KJP is carrying water for Biden. But to what end? Is he not out of politics?
The Biden political machine exists post Biden. Biden was in politics for 54 years. Generations of people have worked for him.
Many of those people are continuing to work post Biden, and I'm sure some of them appreciate her loyalty.
DradisPing
4d ago
The reality is that forcing them to do a real filibuster would likely kill multiple Senators.
At the very least, there are numerous prominent Senators in their 70s. Putting them through a real filibuster with 24 hour sitting and quorum checks would be humiliating.
DradisPing
12d ago
I'm kind of surprised nobody else is pointing this out! Am I hitting on some truth neither side really cares to acknowledge because it doesn't support their favorite platitudes or am I just smart enough at economics to twist myself into a gnarly retarded knot?
There's a direct line from that argument to strict immigration policies on a national level. The high housing price areas are also all very liberal so making basically assures they'll never listen to you.
DradisPing
12d ago
I think Trump wants to get out of Ukraine without taking blame for it.
EU leaders are fully committed to Ukraine as part of their grand EU project, but don't want to commit their own resources on scale or take the blame for failure. EU foreign policy experts are basically in a state of delusional groupthink.
So Trump is doing a dance where he acts cooperative enough that they won't all band together and blame Trump while also attaching conditions that EU leaders are unwilling to meet.
He probably enjoys messing with them, but not enough to actually affect his behaviour.
DradisPing
21d ago
I think something that we should at least try is getting the SEC to require major companies to price in a 10% chance of a strategic China shutdown into their projections for the next year.
They have risk management teams anyways. It'd be much less invasive than trying to do strategic tariffs.
It might not work, but I think it's worth a try.
DradisPing
29d ago
The mosquito-borne disease discussion always bothers me. The diseases are tied to specific species and to me the solution is obviously that we should make an effort to eradicate those specific dangerous species.
There's always a knee jerk "oh no we can't do that". But generally things like the Anopheles mosquito are invasive and well outside of their natural territory. There is just no downside to exterminating them in most areas, and no real downside to completely wiping them out.
DradisPing
30d ago
an older piece that has unicode hiccoughs
Younger coders have no idea how rough the CP-1252 to UTF-8 changeover was. It was complicated by writers who knew nothing about it but loved pasting in text from MS Word with curly quotes.
DradisPing
30d ago
Mohawks seem to have a reduced fear of heights. Some people think it's genetic, but I'm not aware of any actual science on the subject.
DradisPing
1mo ago
You're not likely to find any good numbers. The immigration debate is pretty famous for having the government withhold obvious stats and academic researchers not looking into topics that could have results the left is uncomfortable with.
The other problem is how recent this all is. What numbers are eventually available for 2025 likely won't be released until early 2027.
My sense is that actually being deported incorrectly is pretty rare. There is a lot of due process, it's just in the immigration courts instead judicial branch courts. They sort out visa status issues pretty quickly. Things get tied up for years because defendants bring up a lot of long shot defences on humanitarian grounds.
There's probably a decent number of cases where someone is taken in but released in less than 48 hours after their identity is verified.
There's also a "the dog that didn't bark" aspect. If reporters had found a bunch of people improperly held for weeks or deported then they'd be making noise about specific cases. I haven't heard of any.
Also immigration enforcement has been so lax for so long, ICE has tons of low hanging fruit to go after.
DradisPing
1mo ago
So where do people place the bar for being a fan of a genre? The content quality for every genre typically follows a power law distribution. If I only like the top 5% of anime, am I really an anime fan?
DradisPing
1mo ago
I think your characterization of Kirk is doing him a disservice.
He wasn't a mundane political organizer, he was an exceptionally talented political organizer in party that's lacking in them.
He was only 31 and was arguably the most important Republican under 40. You can easily imagine him getting into the Senate then launching a Presidential campaign in his 50s.
He wasn't a public intellectual, which definitely hurts his image around here, but that doesn't usually lead to success in politics.
DradisPing
1mo ago
Why would the GHF choose to employ radicals?
One of Hamas' things is control over aid distribution in Gaza. They infiltrate and intimidate the normal aid workers.
Normal aid workers and security services aren't thrilled about the idea of getting kinetic with Hamas to distribute aid. Hiring radicals makes more sense than hiring people in denial about the situation.
DradisPing
1mo ago
The uterus falling out is ridiculous, but issues with women and long distance running are real.
Australia lowered training standards for the military (slower runs, softer surfaces) due to pelvic stress fractures in female recruits.
DradisPing
1mo ago
Childhood nutrition can have strong affects on adult height.
In the 19th century blacks were on average about an inch shorter in height than whites. It's not a thing these days since anti-poverty programs basically closed the gap for the 1930 birth cohort.
But in the 1950s a 40 year old American grew up with smaller black people. They didn't realize that it was nutritional instead of genetic.
It was also an issue for peasants in Europe, not sure on the exact years. European aristocrats visiting the US were shocked to discover that the average man was the same height they were.
DradisPing
1mo ago
It's very difficult. Generally the police don't need to reveal anything until they are making submissions to the court.
You might be able to do a public records request for CCTV footage in the area. I know you used to be able to do that in at least some parts of the UK.
DradisPing
2mo ago
I met a guy at a meetup who's contracting specialty was using CVS (Concurrent Versioning System). Specifically he specialized in helping out companies who tried to use the branch feature in CVS and had screwed up their repo.
DradisPing
2mo ago
Wikipedia had diffs long before that. There were also older source control systems, but they tended to focus on tracking files instead of tracking sets of changes to multiple files.
The Canadian legislation process was pretty archaic back in 2010 or so when I had some direct knowledge.
The House of Commons, the Prime Ministers Office, and the various ministries are all involved in drafting legislation and all have their own completely separate IT systems. Their IT departments disabled all of the collaboration features outside of their individual Microsoft Domain for "security". All collaboration was done by emailing full documents or reading changes over the phone.
So screw ups like this will naturally happen. Of course it's entirely possible that someone did it on purpose.
DradisPing
2mo ago
They made the new movies on a crazy timeline. A new movie of the trilogy every two years.
The first final drafts of scripts where due before there was a final cut of the previous movie.
Obviously doing something like that requires careful planning. Naturally they did no planning.
The first movie copied all of the beats of ANH. The second movie is supposed to set up the final conflict of the third movie.
Then Rian Johnson came in for the second and did his own thing. He either ignored or was possibly never aware of some of the things the first movie set up. He killed off The Big Bad / Chessmaster (Snoke) and promoted the Dragon (Kylo Ren) to be the new Big Bad.
Some people liked how it subverted their expectations, but it subverted the arc of the series.
For the third movie they had no villain with a grand plan, no idea where character's stories were supposed to go, and Bob Iger wouldn't budge on the timeline. It had to be out xmas 2019.
DradisPing
2mo ago
I keep seeing The Vorkorsigan Saga pop up in recommendations.
I gave the Warrior's Apprentice a shot, but Miles spends so much of it moping around the house not doing anything. Can you recommend one of the other books that's friendlier to someone with a short attention span who isn't that interested in hearing about the main character's family members?
DradisPing
2mo ago
Why is that less convincing to you than a conspiracy theory?
I don't think it's fair to call it a conspiracy theory.
I see it as more of an important life lesson. If you want people to care about what you want you'd better make yourself useful first.
Sure, there's a lot more to it. But I don't think anyone really wants to hear me recount USSR geopolitical strategies in the Middle East lead to the Palestinian activist networks in the west.
DradisPing
2mo ago
I think you'll enjoy John Derbyshire's take: https://www.nationalreview.com/2002/05/why-dont-i-care-about-palestinians-john-derbyshire/
DradisPing
2mo ago
But these politicians like Cruz also say 'god commands us to support Israel'. Why disbelieve them?
People are frequently dishonest about their motivations. Often they don't even understand them.
You'll never hear a politician say "I don't really care enough about X to have an opinion, but I think position Y is what voters want." People don't want that kind of honesty.
"god commands us to support Israel" is rhetorically useful because it ends the conversation.
"This post is not available in your country."
Instagram has decided that they are a hate crime in Canada.
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